A company that generates cash isn’t automatically a winner. Some businesses stockpile cash but fail to reinvest wisely, limiting their ability to expand.
Cash flow is valuable, but it’s not everything - StockStory helps you identify the companies that truly put it to work. That said, here are three cash-producing companies to steer clear of and a few better alternatives.
DocuSign (DOCU)
Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin: 30.2%
Creating the digital equivalent of "sign on the dotted line" for over a billion users worldwide, DocuSign (NASDAQ: DOCU) provides an agreement management platform that enables businesses to electronically prepare, sign, and manage documents and contracts.
Why Do We Think Twice About DOCU?
- Average ARR growth of 8.3% over the last year has disappointed, suggesting it’s had a hard time winning long-term deals and renewals
- Demand will likely be soft over the next 12 months as Wall Street’s estimates imply tepid growth of 6.6%
- Operating profits and efficiency rose over the last year as it benefited from some fixed cost leverage
At $69.69 per share, DocuSign trades at 4.4x forward price-to-sales. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why DOCU doesn’t pass our bar.
Woodward (WWD)
Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin: 8.1%
Initially designing controls for water wheels in the early 1900s, Woodward (NASDAQ: WWD) designs, services, and manufactures energy control products and optimization solutions.
Why Is WWD Not Exciting?
- Annual revenue growth of 4.9% over the last five years was below our standards for the industrials sector
- Earnings growth underperformed the sector average over the last five years as its EPS grew by just 7.1% annually
- Capital intensity has ramped up over the last five years as its free cash flow margin decreased by 11.2 percentage points
Woodward is trading at $249.18 per share, or 33.4x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with WWD, check out our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).
Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC)
Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin: 5.8%
Named “America’s Most Trusted Home Builder” in 2019, Taylor Morrison Home (NYSE: TMHC) builds single family homes and communities across the United States.
Why Do We Think TMHC Will Underperform?
- Demand cratered as it couldn’t win new orders over the past two years, leading to an average 12.7% decline in its backlog
- Forecasted revenue decline of 8.4% for the upcoming 12 months implies demand will fall off a cliff
- Falling earnings per share over the last two years has some investors worried as stock prices ultimately follow EPS over the long term
Taylor Morrison Home’s stock price of $61.30 implies a valuation ratio of 8.7x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why TMHC doesn’t pass our bar.
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