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2 Reasons to Like LDOS and 1 to Stay Skeptical

LDOS Cover Image

What a time it’s been for Leidos. In the past six months alone, the company’s stock price has increased by a massive 40.8%, reaching $190.05 per share. This was partly due to its solid quarterly results, and the run-up might have investors contemplating their next move.

Is now still a good time to buy LDOS? Or are investors being too optimistic? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.

Why Does LDOS Stock Spark Debate?

Formed through the split of IT services company SAIC, Leidos (NYSE: LDOS) offers technology and engineering solutions such as military training systems for the defense, civil, and health markets.

Two Things to Like:

1. Surging Backlog Locks In Future Sales

We can better understand Defense Contractors companies by analyzing their backlog. This metric shows the value of outstanding orders that have not yet been executed or delivered, giving visibility into Leidos’s future revenue streams.

Leidos’s backlog punched in at $46.21 billion in the latest quarter, and over the last two years, its year-on-year growth averaged 15.7%. This performance was fantastic and shows the company has a robust sales pipeline because it is accumulating more orders than it can fulfill. Its growth also suggests that customers are committing to Leidos for the long term, enhancing the business’s predictability. Leidos Backlog

2. Outstanding Long-Term EPS Growth

Analyzing the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) shows whether a company's incremental sales were profitable – for example, revenue could be inflated through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.

Leidos’s EPS grew at a spectacular 15.4% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years, higher than its 8% annualized revenue growth. This tells us the company became more profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.

Leidos Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

One Reason to be Careful:

Projected Revenue Growth Is Slim

Forecasted revenues by Wall Street analysts signal a company’s potential. Predictions may not always be accurate, but accelerating growth typically boosts valuation multiples and stock prices while slowing growth does the opposite.

Over the next 12 months, sell-side analysts expect Leidos’s revenue to rise by 2.8%, a deceleration versus its 8% annualized growth for the past five years. This projection doesn't excite us and implies its products and services will face some demand challenges. At least the company is tracking well in other measures of financial health.

Final Judgment

Leidos’s merits more than compensate for its flaws, and with the recent surge, the stock trades at 17.1× forward P/E (or $190.05 per share). Is now the right time to buy? See for yourself in our full research report, it’s free.

Stocks We Like Even More Than Leidos

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