SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION 
 
Washington, D.C. 20549 
 
FORM 6-K 
 
REPORT OF FOREIGN PRIVATE ISSUER 
 
Pursuant to Rule 13a-16 or 15d-16 of
the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 
 
For the month of March, 2017
 
PRUDENTIAL PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY 
 
(Translation of registrant's name into English) 
 
LAURENCE POUNTNEY HILL,
LONDON, EC4R 0HH, ENGLAND
(Address of principal executive offices)


 
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports
under cover Form 20-F or Form 40-F.
Form 20-F X           Form 40-F


Indicate by check mark whether the registrant by furnishing the information
contained in this Form is also thereby furnishing the information to the
Commission pursuant to Rule 12g3-2(b) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
 
Yes              No X


 
If "Yes" is marked, indicate below the file number assigned to the registrant
in connection with Rule 12g3-2(b): 82-
 
 
European Embedded Value (EEV) Basis Results
Post-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns
Results analysis by business area
 



2016 £m
2015 £m


Note

notes (iii),(vi)
Asia operations



New business
4
2,030
1,482
Business in force
5
1,044
798
Long-term business

3,074
2,280
Eastspring Investments

125
101
Total

3,199
2,381
US operations



New business
4
790
809
Business in force
5
1,181
999
Long-term business

1,971
1,808
Broker-dealer and asset management

(3)
7
Total

1,968
1,815
UK operationsnote (iv)



New business:note (v)




Excluding UK bulk annuities
4
268
201

UK bulk annuities

-
117



268
318
Business in force
5
375
545
Long-term business

643
863
General insurance commission

23
22
Total UK insurance operations

666
885
M&G

341
358
Prudential Capital

22
18
Total

1,029
1,261
Other income and expenditurenote (i)

(679)
(566)
Solvency II and restructuring costsnote (ii)

(57)
(51)
Interest received from tax settlement

37
-
Operating profit based on longer-term investment returns

5,497
4,840





Analysed as profit (loss) from:



New business:note (v)




Excluding UK bulk annuities
4
3,088
2,492

UK bulk annuities

-
117



3,088
2,609
Business in force
5
2,600
2,342
Long-term business

5,688
4,951
Asset management and general insurance commission

508
506
Other results

(699)
(617)


5,497
4,840
 
Notes
(i)     EEV basis other income and expenditure represents the post-tax IFRS basis result less the unwind of expected margins on the internal management of the assets of the covered business (as explained in note 14(a)(vii)).
(ii)    Solvency II and restructuring costs comprise the net-of-tax charge recognised on an IFRS basis and the additional amount recognised on an EEV basis for the shareholders' share incurred by the PAC with-profits fund.
(iii)   The comparative results have been prepared using previously reported average exchange rates for the year.
(iv)   The EEV basis results have been prepared in accordance with the amended EEV Principles dated April 2016, prepared by the CFO Forum of major European insurers. The 2016 results for UK insurance operations have been prepared to reflect the Solvency II regime. The 2015 results for UK insurance operations were   prepared reflecting the Solvency I basis being the regime applicable for the year. There is no change to the basis of preparation for Asia and US operations.
(v)   Following Prudential's withdrawal from the UK bulk annuity market, the 2015 comparative results for UK bulk annuities new business have been presented separately.
(vi)   The Group agreed in November 2016 to sell, subject to regulatory approval, its life business in Korea. Accordingly, the presentation of the 2015 comparative EEV basis results and related notes have been adjusted from those previously published for the reclassification of the result attributable to the held for sale Korea life business, as described in note 17. This approach has been adopted consistently throughout this supplementary information.
 
 
POST-TAX SUMMARISED CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENT








Note
2016 £m
2015* £m
Asia operations

3,199
2,381
US operations

1,968
1,815
UK operations**

1,029
1,261
Other income and expenditure

(679)
(566)
Solvency II and restructuring costs

(57)
(51)
Interest received on tax settlement

37
-
Operating profit based on longer-term investment returns

5,497
4,840
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns
6
(507)
(1,215)
Effect of changes in economic assumptions
7
(60)
66
Mark to market value movements on core borrowings

(4)
221
Loss attaching to the held for sale Korea life business
17
(410)
39
Total non-operating results

(981)
(889)
Profit for the year attributable to equity holders of the Company

4,516
3,951
 
*       The 2015 comparative results have been adjusted from those previously published for the reclassification of the results attributable to the held for sale Korea life business (see note 17 for details).
**     The 2016 results for UK insurance operations have been prepared on a basis that reflects the Solvency II regime effective from 1 January 2016 (see note 2 for details). The 2015 comparative results for UK insurance operations reflected the Solvency I basis being the regime applicable for the year.
 
Basic earnings per share









2016
2015
Based on post-tax operating profit including longer-term investment returns (in pence)*

214.7p
189.6p
Based on post-tax profit attributable to equity holders of the Company (in pence)

176.4p
154.8p
Average number of shares (millions)

2,560
2,553
 
*       The 2015 comparative results have been adjusted from those previously published for the reclassification of the results attributable to the held for sale Korea life business (see note 17 for details).


MOVEMENT IN SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY












Note
2016 £m
2015 £m
Profit for the year attributable to equity shareholders

4,516
3,951
Items taken directly to equity:




Exchange movements on foreign operations and net investment hedges
9
4,211
244

External dividends
9
(1,267)
(974)

Mark to market value movements on Jackson assets backing surplus and required capital
9
(11)
(76)

Other movements
9
(367)
53
Net increase in shareholders' equity
9
7,082
3,198
Shareholders' equity at beginning of year




As previously reported
9
32,359
29,161

Effect of implementation of Solvency II on 1 January 2016*
2
(473)
-




31,886
29,161
Shareholders' equity at end of year
9
38,968
32,359
 
Comprising: 
31 Dec 2016 £m
31 Dec 2015 £m


Long-term
business operations
Asset
management
and other operations  
Total      
Long-term
business
operations
Asset
management
and other operations  
Total     
Asia operations
18,717
383
19,100
13,876
306
14,182
US operations
11,805
204
12,009
9,487
182
9,669
UK insurance operations*
10,307
25
10,332
9,647
22
9,669
M&G
-
1,820
1,820
-
1,774
1,774
Prudential Capital
-
22
22
-
70
70
Other operations
-
(4,315)
(4,315)
-
(3,005)
(3,005)
Shareholders' equity at end of year
40,829
(1,861)
38,968
33,010
(651)
32,359








Representing:






Net assets excluding acquired goodwill and







holding company net borrowings
40,584
961
41,545
32,777
866
33,643
Acquired goodwill
245
1,230
1,475
233
1,230
1,463
Holding company net borrowings at market valuenote 8
-
(4,052)
(4,052)
-
(2,747)
(2,747)

40,829
(1,861)
38,968
33,010
(651)
32,359
 
*       The 2016 results for UK insurance operations have been prepared on a basis that reflects the Solvency II regime effective from 1 January 2016 (see note 2 for details). The 2015 comparative results for UK insurance operations reflected the Solvency I basis being the regime applicable for the year.
 
SUMMARY STATEMENT OF FINANCIAL POSITION









Note
31 Dec 2016 £m
31 Dec 2015 £m
Total assets less liabilities, before deduction for insurance funds*

407,928
340,666
Less insurance funds:**




Policyholder liabilities (net of reinsurers' share) and unallocated surplus





of with-profits funds

(393,262)
(327,711)

Less shareholders' accrued interest in the long-term business
9
24,302
19,404




(368,960)
(308,307)
Total net assets
9
38,968
32,359






Share capital

129
128
Share premium

1,927
1,915
IFRS basis shareholders' reserves

12,610
10,912
Total IFRS basis shareholders' equity
9
14,666
12,955
Additional EEV basis retained profit***
9
24,302
19,404
Total EEV basis shareholders' equity (excluding non-controlling interests)
9
38,968
32,359
 
*       Following its classification as held for sale, Korea life business is included in total assets at a carrying value of £105 million (see note 17 for details).
**     Including liabilities in respect of insurance products classified as investment contracts under IFRS 4.
***    The 2016 results for UK insurance operations have been prepared on a basis that reflects the Solvency II regime effective from 1 January 2016 (see note 2 for
        details). The 2015 comparative results for UK insurance operations reflect the Solvency I basis being the regime applicable for the year.
 
Net asset value per share









31 Dec 2016
31 Dec 2015
Based on EEV basis shareholders' equity of £38,968 million (2015: £32,359 million) (in pence)**

1,510p
1,258p
Number of issued shares at year end (millions)

2,581 
2,572 




Annualised return on embedded value*

17%
17%
 
*       Annualised return on embedded value is based on EEV post-tax operating profit, as a percentage of opening EEV basis shareholders' equity.
**     The 2016 results for UK insurance operations have been prepared on a basis that reflects the Solvency II regime effective from 1 January 2016 (see note 2 for details). The 2015 comparative results for UK insurance operations reflect the Solvency I basis being the regime applicable for the year.
 
Notes on the EEV basis results
1Basis of preparation
The EEV basis results have been prepared in accordance with the EEV Principles dated April 2016, prepared by the European Insurance CFO Forum. There is no change to the EEV methodology. The 2016 results for UK insurance operations have been prepared on a basis that reflects the Solvency II regime, as discussed in note 2 below. The 2015 comparative results for UK insurance operations were prepared reflecting the Solvency I basis, being the regime applicable for the year. There is no change to the basis of preparation for Asia and the US operations. Where appropriate, the EEV basis results include the effects of adoption of EU-endorsed IFRS.
The directors are responsible for the preparation of the supplementary information in accordance with the EEV Principles. The auditors have reported on the 2016 EEV basis results supplement to the Company's statutory accounts for 2016. Their report was (i) unqualified, and (ii) did not include a reference to any matters to which the auditors drew attention by way of emphasis without qualifying their report. Except for the change in presentation of the results of the operating and non-operating results for Asia operations to show separately the contribution from the held for sale Korea life business (see note 17 for details), the 2015 results have been derived from the EEV basis results supplement to the Company's statutory accounts for 2015. The supplement included an unqualified audit report from the auditors.
A detailed description of the EEV methodology and accounting presentation is provided in note 14.
 
2  Effect of Solvency II implementation on EEV basis results on 1 January 2016
The Solvency II framework is effective from 1 January 2016. For our operations in Asia and the US there is no impact on the EEV results since Solvency II does not act as the local constraint on the ability to distribute profits to the Group. The embedded value for these businesses will continue to be driven by local regulatory and target capital requirements. For the UK insurance operations, Solvency II has an impact on the EEV results as it changes the local regulatory valuation of net worth and capital requirements, affecting the components of the EEV.
The impact of Solvency II on EEV shareholders' equity on 1 January 2016 is shown below:
 
Total EEV basis shareholders' equity
£m
As reported at 31 December 2015
32,359
Opening adjustment at 1 January 2016 for long-term business operations


Effect of implementation of Solvency II on net worthnote (a)
2,760

Effect of implementation of Solvency II on net value of in-force business (VIF)note (b)
(3,233)


(473)
Group total shareholders' equity as at 1 January 2016note (c)
31,886
 
Notes
(a)   The Solvency II framework requires technical provisions to be valued on a best estimate basis and capital requirements to be risk-based. It also requires the establishment of a risk margin (which for business in force at 31 December 2015 can be broadly offset by transitional measures). As a result of applying this framework the EEV net worth increased by £2,760 million reflecting the release of the prudent regulatory margins previously included under Solvency I, and also from the recognition within net worth of a portion of future shareholder transfers expected from the with-profits fund. The higher net worth incorporated increases in required capital reflecting the higher solvency capital requirements of the new regime.
(b)   The net value of in-force business (VIF) is correspondingly impacted as follows:
the release of prudent regulatory margins and recognition of a portion of future with-profits business shareholders' transfers within net worth lead to a corresponding reduction in the VIF;
the run-off of the risk margin, net of transitional measures, is now captured in VIF; and
the cost of capital deducted from the gross VIF increases as a result of the higher Solvency II capital requirements.
The overall impact of these changes was to reduce the value of in-force by £(3,233) million.
(c)   At 1 January 2016 the effect of these changes was a net reduction in EEV shareholders' equity of £(473) million.
 
The impact of Solvency II in 2016 for UK insurance operations is estimated to have reduced total operating profit from new and in-force business by £(39) million. 
 
3  Results analysis by business area
The 2015 comparative results are shown below on both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER) bases. The 2015 CER comparative results are translated at 2016 average exchange rates.
Annual premium equivalents (APE)note 16


2016 £m
2015* £m
% change

Note

AER
CER
AER
CER
Asia operations

3,599
2,712
3,020
33%
19%
US operations

1,561
1,729
1,950
(10)%
(20)%
UK retail operations***

1,160
874
874
33%
33%
Group total excluding UK bulk annuities
4
6,320
5,315
5,844
19%
8%
UK bulk annuities***

-
151
151
(100)%
(100)%
Group total

6,320
5,466
5,995
16%
5%
 
Post-tax operating profit








2016 £m
2015* £m
% change

Note

AER
CER
AER
CER
Asia operations






New business
4
2,030
1,482
1,660
37%
22%
Business in force
5
1,044
798
895
31%
17%
Long-term business

3,074
2,280
2,555
35%
20%
Eastspring Investments

125
101
112
24%
12%
Total

3,199
2,381
2,667
34%
20%
US operations






New business
4
790
809
913
(2)%
(13)%
Business in force
5
1,181
999
1,127
18%
5%
Long-term business

1,971
1,808
2,040
9%
(3)%
Broker-dealer and asset management

(3)
7
8
(143)%
(138)%
Total

1,968
1,815
2,048
8%
(4)%
UK operations






New business***







UK retail operations
4
268
201
201
33%
33%

UK bulk annuities

-
117
117
(100)%
(100)%


268
318
318
(16)%
(16)%
Business in force
5
375
545
545
(31)%
(31)%
Long-term business**

643
863
863
(25)%
(25)%
General insurance commission

23
22
22
5%
5%
Total UK insurance operations**

666
885
885
(25)%
(25)%
M&G

341
358
358
(5)%
(5)%
Prudential Capital

22
18
18
22%
22%
Total**

1,029
1,261
1,261
(18)%
(18)%
Other income and expenditure

(679)
(566)
(566)
(20)%
(20)%
Solvency II and restructuring costs

(57)
(51)
(51)
(12)%
(12)%
Interest received on tax settlement

37
-
-
n/a
n/a
Operating profit based on







longer-term investment returns**

5,497
4,840
5,359
14%
3%







Analysed as profit (loss) from:






New business:***







Life operations excluding UK bulk annuities
4
3,088
2,492
2,774
24%
11%

UK bulk annuities

-
117
117
(100)%
(100)%


3,088
2,609
2,891
18%
7%
Business in force
5
2,600
2,342
2,567
11%
1%
Total long-term business**

5,688
4,951
5,458
15%
4%
Asset management and general insurance







commission

508
506
518
0%
(2)%
Other results

(699)
(617)
(617)
(13)%
(13)%
Operating profit based on







longer-term investment returns**

5,497
4,840
5,359
14%
3%
 
Post-tax profit







2016 £m
2015* £m
% change

Note

AER
CER
AER
CER
Operating profit based on longer-term







investment returns**

5,497
4,840
5,359
14%
3%
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns
 6
(507)
(1,215)
(1,343)
58%
62%
Effect of changes in economic assumptions
 7
(60)
66
66
(191)%
(191)%
Mark to market value movements on







core borrowings

(4)
221
220
(102)%
(102)%
(Loss) profit attaching to the held for sale







Korea life business
17
(410)
39
42
n/a
n/a
Total non-operating loss

(981)
(889)
(1,015)
(10)%
3%
Profit for the year attributable to







shareholders

4,516
3,951
4,344
14%
4%
 
Basic earnings per share (in pence)








2016
2015
% change



AER
CER
AER
CER
Based on post-tax operating profit







including longer-term investment returns*,**

214.7p
189.6p
209.9p
13%
2%
Based on post-tax profit**

176.4p
154.8p
170.2p
14%
4%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
*       The 2015 comparative results have been adjusted from those previously published for the reclassification of the results attributable to the held for sale Korea life business (see note 17 for details).
**     The 2016 results for UK insurance operations have been prepared on a basis that reflects the Solvency II regime effective from 1 January 2016 (see note 2 for details). The 2015 comparative results for UK insurance operations reflect the Solvency I basis being the regime applicable for the year.
***    Following Prudential's withdrawal from the UK bulk annuity market, the 2015 comparative results for UK bulk annuities new business have been presented separately.
4  Analysis of new business contribution
(i)    Group summary








2016

Annual premium
and contribution
equivalents (APE)
Present value
of new business
premiums (PVNBP)
New business
contribution

New business margin




APE
PVNBP

£m
£m
£m

%
%

note 16
note 16
note



Asia operationsnote (ii)
3,599
19,271
2,030

56
10.5
US operations
1,561
15,608
790

51
5.1
UK insurance operations**
1,160
10,513
268

23
2.5
Group total
6,320
45,392
3,088

49
6.8








2015*

Annual premium
and contribution
equivalents (APE)
Present value
of new business
premiums (PVNBP)
New business
contribution

New business margin




APE
PVNBP

£m
£m
£m

%
%

note 16
note 16
note



Asia operationsnote (ii)
2,712
14,428
1,482

55
10.3
US operations
1,729
17,286
809

47
4.7
UK retail operations**,***
874
7,561
201

23
2.7
Total excluding UK bulk annuities
5,315
39,275
2,492

47
6.3
UK bulk annuities***
151
1,508
117

77
7.8
Group total
5,466
40,783
2,609

48
6.4
 
*       The 2015 comparative results have been adjusted from those previously published for the reclassification of the results attributable to the held for sale Korea life business (see note 17 for details).
**     The 2016 results for UK insurance operations have been prepared on a basis that reflects the Solvency II regime effective from 1 January 2016 (see note 2 for details). The 2015 comparative results for UK insurance operations reflect the Solvency I basis being the regime applicable for the year.
***    Following Prudential's withdrawal from the UK bulk annuity market, the 2015 comparative results for UK bulk annuities new business have been presented separately.
 
Note
The increase in new business contribution of £596 million from £2,492 million for 2015 (excluding the contributions from UK bulk annuities) to £3,088 million for 2016 comprises an increase on a CER basis of £314 million and an increase of £282 million for foreign exchange effects. The increase of £314 million on a CER basis comprises a contribution of £226 million for higher retail sales volumes in 2016, a £17 million effect of movement in long-term interest rates, generated by the active basis of setting economic assumptions (analysed as Asia £14 million, US £13 million and UK £(10) million), and a £71 million impact of pricing, product and other actions.
 
(ii)  Asia operations - new business contribution by territory

2016 £m
2015* £m
  

AER
CER
China
63
30
32
Hong Kong
1,363
835
941
Indonesia
175
229
260
Taiwan
31
28
31
Other
398
360
396
Total Asia operations
2,030
1,482
1,660
 
*       The 2015 comparative results have been adjusted from those previously published for the reclassification of the results attributable to the held for sale Korea life business (see note 17 for details).
 
5 Operating profit from business in force
(i)   Group summary






2016 £m

Asia
operations
US
operations
UK
insurance
operations
Total

note (ii)
note (iii)
note (iv)
note
Unwind of discount and other expected returns
866
583
445
1,894
Effect of changes in operating assumptions
54
170
25
249
Experience variances and other items
124
428
(95)
457
Total
1,044
1,181
375
2,600






2015* £m

Asia
operations*
US
operations
UK
insurance
operations**
Total

note (ii)
note (iii)
note (iv)
note
Unwind of discount and other expected returns
725
472
488
1,685
Effect of changes in operating assumptions
12
115
55
182
Experience variances and other items
61
412
2
475
Total
798
999
545
2,342
 
*       The 2015 comparative results have been adjusted from those previously published for the reclassification of the results attributable to the held for sale Korea life business (see note 17 for details).
**     The 2016 results for UK insurance operations have been prepared on a basis that reflects the Solvency II regime effective from 1 January 2016 (see note 2 for details). The 2015 comparative results for UK insurance operations reflected the Solvency I basis being the regime applicable for the year.
 
Note
The movement in operating profit from business in force of £258 million from £2,342 million for 2015 to £2,600 million for 2016 comprises:



£m
Movement in unwind of discount and other expected returns:


Effects of changes in:



Growth in opening value
126


Interest rates
(28)


Foreign exchange
141


Implementation of Solvency II on 1 January 2016
(30)



209
Movement in effect of changes in operating assumptions, experience variances and other items (including foreign exchange of £84 million)
49
Net movement in operating profit from business in force
258
 
(ii)  Asia operations


2016 £m
2015* £m
Unwind of discount and other expected returnsnote (a)
866
725
Effect of changes in operating assumptions:



Mortality and morbidity
33
63

Persistency and withdrawalsnote (b)
(47)
(46)

Expense
15
(1)

Othernote (c) 
53
(4)


54
12
Experience variances and other items:



Mortality and morbiditynote (d) 
71
54

Persistency and withdrawalsnote (e) 
52
17

Expensenote (f)
(23)
(32)

Other
24
22


124
61
Total Asia operations
1,044
798
 
*       The 2015 comparative results have been adjusted from those previously published for the reclassification of the results attributable to the held for sale Korea life business (see note 17 for details).
 
Notes
(a)   The increase in unwind of discount and other expected returns of £141 million from £725 million for 2015 to £866 million for 2016 comprises a positive £61 million impact for the growth in the opening in-force value, a positive £81 million foreign exchange effect and a net £(1) million effect for movements in long-term interest rates.
(b)   The 2016 charge of £(47) million (2015: £(46) million) for persistency assumption changes comprises positive and negative contributions from our various operations, with positive persistency updates on health and protection products being more than offset by negative effects for unit-linked business.
(c)   The 2016 credit of £53 million for other assumption changes reflects a number of offsetting items, including modelling improvements and those arising from asset allocation changes in a number of territories.
(d)   The positive mortality and morbidity experience variance in 2016 of £71 million (2015: £54 million) mainly reflects better than expected experience in a number of territories.
(e)   The positive £52 million for persistency and withdrawals experience in 2016 (2015: £17 million) comprises positive and negative contributions from various operations, with positive persistency experience on health and protection products which more than offsets negative experience on unit-linked products.
(f)    The negative expense experience variance in 2016 of £(23) million (2015: £(32) million) principally arises in operations which are currently sub-scale (China, Malaysia Takaful and Taiwan).
 
(iii) US operations


2016 £m
2015 £m
Unwind of discount and other expected returnsnote (a)
583
472
Effect of changes in operating assumptionsnote (b)
170
115
Experience variances and other items:



Spread experience variancenote (c)
119
149

Amortisation of interest-related realised gains and lossesnote (d)
88
70

Othernote (e)
221
193


428
412
Total US operations
1,181
999
 
Notes                                                                                                                                         
(a)   The increase in unwind of discount and other expected returns of £111 million from £472 million for 2015 to £583 million for 2016 comprises a positive £40 million effect for the underlying growth in the in-force book, a positive £60 million foreign exchange effect and an £11 million impact of the 20 basis points increase in the US 10-year treasury yield during the year.
(b)   The 2016 credit of £170 million comprises assumption updates for mortality, persistency and expense, together with an increase in the assumed level of tax relief reflecting recent experience.
(c)   The spread assumption for Jackson is determined on a longer-term basis, net of provision for defaults (see note 15(ii)). The spread experience variance in 2016 of £119 million (2015: £149 million) includes the positive effect of transactions previously undertaken to more closely match the overall asset and liability duration. The reduction compared to the prior year reflects the effects of declining yields in the portfolio caused by the prolonged low interest rate environment.
(d)   The amortisation of interest-related gains and losses reflects the fact that when bonds that are neither impaired nor deteriorating are sold and reinvested there will be a consequent change in the investment yield. The realised gain or loss is amortised into the result over the period when the bonds would have otherwise matured to better reflect the long-term returns included in operating profits.
(e)   Other experience variances of £221 million in 2016 (2015: £193 million) include the effects of positive persistency experience and other variances.
 
(iv)   UK insurance operations

2016 £m
2015* £m
Unwind of discount and other expected returnsnote (a)
445
488
Reduction in future UK corporate tax ratenote (b)
25
55
Othernote (c)
(95)
2
Total UK insurance operations
375
545
 
*       The 2016 results for UK insurance operations have been prepared on a basis that reflects the Solvency II regime effective from 1 January 2016 (see note 2 for details). The 2015 comparative results for UK insurance operations reflected the Solvency I basis being the regime applicable for the year.
 
Notes
(a)   The decrease in unwind of discount and expected returns of £(43)million from 2015 of £488 million to £445 million for 2016 comprises a positive £25 million effect for the underlying growth in the in-force book, more than offset by a £(38) million effect driven by the 70 basis points decrease in the 15-year gilt yield during the year and a negative £(30) million representing the net effect of adopting the Solvency II regime.
(b)   The credit of £25 million (2015: £55 million) for the reduction in UK corporate tax rate reflects the beneficial effect of applying a lower corporation tax rate (see note 15) to future life profits from in-force business in the UK.
(c)   Other items comprise the following:


2016 £m
2015 £m

Longevity reinsurance
(90)
(134)

Impact of specific management actions to improve solvency positionnote (d)
110
75

Provision for cost of undertaking past non-advised annuity sales review and potential redressnote (e)
(145)
-

Other itemsnote (f)
30
61


(95)
2
 
(d)   The 2016 benefit of £110 million (2015: £75 million) arises from the specific management actions to improve solvency, including the effect of repositioning the fixed income asset portfolio.
(e)   In response to the findings of the FCA's Thematic Review of Annuities Sales Practices, the UK business will review all internally vesting annuities sold without advice after 1 July 2008. Reflecting this, the UK 2016 result includes a provision of £145 million (post-tax) for the estimated cost of the review and any appropriate customer redress, but excludes any potential for insurance recoveries. 
(f)    The 2016 credit of £30 million (2015: £61 million) comprises assumption updates and experience variances for mortality, expense, persistency and other items.
6 Short-term fluctuations in investment returns
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns included in profit for the year arise as follows:
(i)   Group summary

2016 £m
2015* £m
Asia operationsnote (ii)
(100)
(213)
US operationsnote (iii)
(1,102)
(753)
UK insurance operationsnote (iv)
869
(194)
Other operationsnote (v)
(174)
(55)
Total
(507)
(1,215)
 
*       The 2015 comparative results have been adjusted from those previously published for the reclassification of the results attributable to the held for sale Korea life business (see note 17 for details).
(ii)   Asia operations
The short-term fluctuations in investment returns for Asia operations comprise:

2016 £m
2015* £m
Hong Kong
(105)
(144)
Singapore
52
(104)
Other
(47)
35
Total Asia operationsnote
(100)
(213)
 
*       The 2015 comparative results have been adjusted from those previously published for the reclassification of the results attributable to the held for sale Korea life business (see note 17 for details).
Note
For 2016, the charge of £(100) million mainly reflects the impact of interest rate movements on bonds and other investment returns, with losses due to increased long-term interest rates in Hong Kong, partly offset by gains in Singapore (as shown in note 15(i)).
(iii)  US operations
The short-term fluctuations in investment returns for US operations comprise:


2016 £m
2015 £m
Investment return related experience on fixed income securitiesnote (a)
(85)
(17)
Investment return related impact due to changed expectation of profits on in-force



variable annuity business in future periods based on current year



separate account return, net of related hedging activity and other itemsnote (b)
(1,017)
(736)
Total US operations
(1,102)
(753)
 
Notes
(a)   The charge relating to fixed income securities comprises the following elements:
-      the impact on portfolio yields of changes in the asset portfolio in the year;
-      the excess of actual realised gains and losses over the amortisation of interest-related realised gains and losses recorded in the profit and loss account; and
-      credit experience (versus the longer-term assumption).
(b)   This item reflects the net impact of:
-      changes in projected future fees and future benefit costs arising from the difference between the actual growth in separate account asset values in the current year of 8.9 per cent and that assumed at the start of the year of 6.0 per cent; and
-      related hedging activity arising from realised and unrealised gains and losses on equity-related hedges and interest rate options, and other items.
 
(iv) UK insurance operations
The short-term fluctuations in investment returns for UK insurance operations comprise:

2016 £m
2015* £m
Shareholder-backed annuity businessnote (a)
431
(88)
With-profits and other businessnote (b)
438
(106)
Total UK insurance operations
869
(194)
 
*       The 2016 results for UK insurance operations have been prepared on a basis that reflects the Solvency II regime effective from 1 January 2016 (see note 2 for details). The 2015 comparative results for UK insurance operations reflected the Solvency I basis being the regime applicable for the year.
Notes
(a)   Short-term fluctuations in investment returns for shareholder-backed annuity business comprise:
-      gains (losses) on surplus assets compared to the expected long-term rate of return reflecting reductions (increases) in corporate bond and gilt yields;
-      the difference between actual and expected default experience; and
-      the effect of mismatching for assets and liabilities of different durations.
(b)   The £438 million fluctuations in 2016 for with-profits and other business represent the impact of achieving a 13.6 per cent pre-tax return on the with-profits fund (including unallocated surplus) compared to the assumed rate of return of 5.0 per cent (2015: total return of 3.1 per cent compared to assumed rate of 5.4 per cent), together with the effect of a partial hedge of future shareholder transfers expected to emerge from the UK's with-profits sub-fund entered into to protect future shareholder with-profit transfers from movements in the UK equity market.
 
(v) Other operations
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns for other operations of negative £(174) million (2015: negative £(55) million) include unrealised value movements on investments held outside of the main life operations.
7  Effect of changes in economic assumptions
The effects of changes in economic assumptions for in-force business included in the profit for the year arise as follows:
(i)    Group summary

2016 £m
2015* £m
Asia operationsnote (ii)
70
(139)
US operationsnote (iii)
45
109
UK insurance operationsnote (iv)
(175)
96
Total
(60)
66
 
*       The 2015 comparative results have been adjusted from those previously published for the reclassification of the results attributable to the held for sale Korea life business (see note 17 for details).
 
(ii)   Asia operations
The effect of changes in economic assumptions for Asia operations comprises:

2016 £m
2015* £m
Hong Kong
85
100
Indonesia
46
(15)
Malaysia
(20)
(30)
Singapore
(60)
(50)
Taiwan
12
(97)
Other
7
(47)
Total Asia operationsnote
70
(139)
 
*       The 2015 comparative results have been adjusted from those previously published for the reclassification of the results attributable to the held for sale Korea life business (see note 17 for details).
Note
The positive effect for 2016 of £70 million largely arises from the movements in long-term interest rates (see note 15(i)). Non-operating profits arise from higher interest rates and hence fund earned rates in Hong Kong, together with the beneficial impact of valuing future health and protection profits at lower discount rates in Indonesia. Losses arise from a fall in interest rates in Singapore and a higher discount rate in Malaysia.
 
(iii)  US operations
The effect of changes in economic assumptions for US operations comprises:

2016 £m
2015 £m
Variable annuity business
86
104
Fixed annuity and other general account business
(41)
5
Total US operationsnote
45
109
 
Note
For 2016, the credit of £45 million mainly reflects the increase in the assumed separate account return and reinvestment rates for variable annuity business, following the 20 basis points increase in the US 10-year treasury yield, resulting in higher projected fee income and a decrease in projected benefit costs. For fixed annuity and other general account business, the impact reflects the effect on the present value of future projected spread income of applying a higher discount rate on the opening value of the in-force book.
 
(iv)  UK insurance operations
The effect of changes in economic assumptions for UK insurance operations comprises:

2016 £m
2015* £m
Shareholder-backed annuity businessnote (a)
(113)
(56)
With-profits and other businessnote (b)
(62)
152
Total UK insurance operations
(175)
96
 
*       The 2016 results for UK insurance operations have been prepared on a basis that reflects the Solvency II regime effective from 1 January 2016 (see note 2 for details). The 2015 comparative results for UK insurance operations reflected the Solvency I basis being the regime applicable for the year.
 
Notes
(a)   For shareholder-backed annuity business the overall negative effect of £(113) million for 2016 (2015: £(56) million) reflects an increase in the cost of capital, driven by the lower interest rates, partially offset by the change in the present value of projected spread income arising mainly from the adoption of lower risk discount rates as shown in note 15(iii).
(b)   The charge of £(62) million for 2016 (2015: credit of £152 million) reflects the net effect of changes in expected future fund earned rates and risk discount rates (as shown in note 15(iii)).
 
 
8 Net core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed operations
 

31 Dec 2016 £m
31 Dec 2015 £m

IFRS
basis
Mark to
market
value
adjustment
EEV
basis at
market
value
IFRS
basis
Mark to
market
value
adjustment
EEV
basis at
market
value
Holding company (including central finance subsidiaries)







cash and short-term investments
(2,626)
-
(2,626)
(2,173)
-
(2,173)
Central fundsnote







Subordinated debt
5,772
182
5,954
4,018
211
4,229

Senior debt
549
175
724
549
142
691

6,321
357
6,678
4,567
353
4,920
Holding company net borrowings
3,695
357
4,052
2,394
353
2,747
Prudential Capital bank loan
275
-
275
275
-
275
Jackson surplus notes
202
65
267
169
55
224
Net core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed operations
4,172
422
4,594
2,838
408
3,246
 
Note
In June 2016, the Company issued core structural borrowings of US$1,000 million 5.25 per cent Tier 2 perpetual subordinated notes. The proceeds net of costs were £681 million. In September 2016, the Company issued core structural borrowings of US$725 million 4.38 per cent Tier 2 perpetual subordinated notes. The proceeds net of costs were £546 million. The movement in IFRS basis core structural borrowings from 2015 to 2016 also includes foreign exchange effects.
 
 
9  Reconciliation of movement in shareholders' equity
 


2016 £m

Long-term business operations
Asset management and UK general insurance commission
Other operations
Group
Total

Asia operations
US
operations
UK
insurance operations*
Total
long-term business
operations




note (i)




note (i)

Operating profit based on longer-term








investment returns:







Long-term business:








New businessnote 4
2,030
790
268
3,088
-
-
3,088

Business in forcenote 5
1,044
1,181
375
2,600
-
-
2,600

3,074
1,971
643
5,688

-
5,688
Asset management and general








insurance commission
-
-
-
-
508
-
508
Other results
-
-
(33)
(33)
-
(666)
(699)
Post-tax operating profit
3,074
1,971
610
5,655
508
(666)
5,497
Loss attaching to the held for sale








Korea life businessnote 17
(395)
-
-
(395)
-
(15)
(410)
Other non-operating (loss) profit
(30)
(1,057)
694
(393)
(38)
(140)
(571)
Profit for the year
2,649
914
1,304
4,867
470
(821)
4,516
Other items taken directly to equity:







Exchange movements on foreign operations
   and net investment hedges
2,714
1,878
-
4,592
83
(464)
4,211
Intra-group dividends and investment in








operationsnote (ii)
(594)
(388)
(281)
(1,263)
(462)
1,725
-
External dividends
-
-
-

-
(1,267)
(1,267)
Mark to market value movements on Jackson








assets backing surplus and required capital
-
(11)
-
(11)
-
-
(11)
Other movementsnote (iii)
(6)
(75)
(169)
(250)
9
(126)
(367)
Net increase in shareholders' equity
4,763
2,318
854
7,935
100
(953)
7,082
Shareholders' equity at beginning of year:








As previously reported
13,643
9,487
9,647
32,777
2,354
(2,772)
32,359

Effect of implementation of Solvency IInote 2
-
-
(473)
(473)
-
-
(473)

Other opening adjustmentsnote (v)
66
-
279
345
-
(345)
-

13,709
9,487
9,453
32,649
2,354
(3,117)
31,886
Shareholders' equity at end of year
18,472
11,805
10,307
40,584
2,454
(4,070)
38,968








Representing:







Statutory IFRS basis shareholders' equity:








Net assets (liabilities)
4,747
5,204
5,974
15,925
1,224
(3,958)
13,191

Goodwill
-
-
-
-
1,230
245
1,475
Total IFRS basis shareholders' equity
4,747
5,204
5,974
15,925
2,454
(3,713)
14,666
Additional retained profit (loss) on an








EEV basisnote (iv)
13,725
6,601
4,333
24,659
-
(357)
24,302
EEV basis shareholders' equity
18,472
11,805
10,307
40,584
2,454
(4,070)
38,968








Balance at beginning of year:*







Statutory IFRS basis shareholders' equity:








Net assets (liabilities)
3,789
4,154
5,397
13,340
1,124
(2,972)
11,492

Goodwill
-
-
-
-
1,230
233
1,463
Total IFRS basis shareholders' equity
3,789
4,154
5,397
13,340
2,354
(2,739)
12,955
Additional retained profit (loss) on an








EEV basisnote (iv)
9,920
5,333
4,056
19,309
-
(378)
18,931
EEV basis shareholders' equity
13,709
9,487
9,453
32,649
2,354
(3,117)
31,886
 
*       The balance at the beginning of the year has been presented after the adjustments for the impact of Solvency II for UK insurance operations at 1 January 2016 (see note 2 for details), together with the effect of a classification change (see note (v) below).
 
Notes
(i)     Other operations of £(4,070) million represents the shareholders' equity of £(4,315) million for other operations as shown in the movement in shareholders' equity and includes goodwill of £245 million (2015: £233 million) related to Asia long-term operations.
(ii)    Intra-group dividends represent dividends that have been declared in the year and investments in operations reflect increases in share capital. The amounts included in note 11 for these items are as per the holding company cash flow at transaction rates. The difference primarily relates to intra-group loans, foreign exchange and other non-cash items.
(iii)   Other movements include reserve movements in respect of the shareholders' share of actuarial gains and losses on defined benefit pension schemes, share capital subscribed, share-based payments and treasury shares.
(iv)   The additional retained loss on an EEV basis for Other operations primarily represents the mark to market value adjustment for holding company net borrowings of a charge of £(357) million (2015: £(353) million), as shown in note 8.
(v)   Other opening adjustments represents the effect of a classification change of £345 million from Other operations to UK insurance operations of £279 million and to Asia insurance operations of £66 million in order to align with Solvency II segmental reporting, which has no overall effect on the Group's EEV.
 
 
10 Analysis of movement in net worth and value of in-force for long-term business
 


2016 £m






Total





Value of
long-term


Free
Required
Total net
in-force
business


surplus
capital
 worth
business
operations


note  11


note

Group





Shareholders' equity at beginning of year:






As previously reported
5,642
4,704
10,346
22,431
32,777

Opening adjustments*
(1,473)
4,578
3,105
(3,233)
(128)


4,169
9,282
13,451
19,198
32,649
New business contribution
(903)
595
(308)
3,396
3,088
Existing business - transfer to net worth
3,060
(637)
2,423
(2,423)
-
Expected return on existing businessnote 5
99
193
292
1,602
1,894
Changes in operating assumptions and experience variancesnote 5
857
(231)
626
80
706
Solvency II and restructuring costs
(33)
-
(33)
-
(33)
Post-tax operating profit
3,080
(80)
3,000
2,655
5,655
Loss attaching to held for sale Korea life businessnote 9
(86)
-
(86)
(309)
(395)
Other non-operating items
(932)
505
(427)
34
(393)
Profit for the year from long-term business
2,062
425
2,487
2,380
4,867
Exchange movements on foreign operations and






net investment hedges
633
589
1,222
3,370
4,592
Intra-group dividends and investment in operations
(1,263)
-
(1,263)
-
(1,263)
Other movements
(250)
-
(250)
(11)
(261)
Shareholders' equity at end of year*
5,351
10,296
15,647
24,937
40,584







Asia operations





New business contribution
(476)
139
(337)
2,367
2,030
Existing business - transfer to net worth
1,157
(92)
1,065
(1,065)
-
Expected return on existing businessnote 5
39
54
93
773
866
Changes in operating assumptions and experience variancesnote 5
14
94
108
70
178
Post-tax operating profit
734
195
929
2,145
3,074
Loss attaching to held for sale Korea life businessnote 9
(86)
-
(86)
(309)
(395)
Other non-operating items
(91)
29
(62)
32
(30)
Profit for the year from long-term business
557
224
781
1,868
2,649







US operations





New business contribution
(298)
324
26
764
790
Existing business - transfer to net worth
1,223
(213)
1,010
(1,010)
-
Expected return on existing businessnote 5
47
53
100
483
583
Changes in operating assumptions and experience variancesnote 5
596
5
601
(3)
598
Post-tax operating profit
1,568
169
1,737
234
1,971
Non-operating items
(770)
(108)
(878)
(179)
(1,057)
Profit for the year from long-term business
798
61
859
55
914







UK insurance operations





New business contribution
(129)
132
3
265
268
Existing business - transfer to net worth
680
(332)
348
(348)
-
Expected return on existing businessnote 5
13
86
99
346
445
Changes in operating assumptions and experience variancesnote 5
247
(330)
(83)
13
(70)
Solvency II and restructuring costs
(33)
-
(33)
-
(33)
Post-tax operating profit
778
(444)
334
276
610
Non-operating items
(71)
584
513
181
694
Profit for the year from long-term business
707
140
847
457
1,304
 
*       Opening adjustments represent the impact of implementation of Solvency II for UK insurance operations at 1 January 2016 (see note 2 for details), together with the effect of a classification change, as discussed in note 9(v).
 
Note
The net value of in-force business comprises the value of future margins from current in-force business less the cost of holding required capital as shown below:


31 Dec 2016 £m
31 Dec 2015 £m


Asia
operations
US
operations
UK
insurance
operations
Total
long-term
business
operations
Asia
operations
US
operations
UK
insurance
operations*
Total
long-term
business
operations
Value of in-force business before









deduction of cost of capital and









time value of guarantees
15,371
8,584
3,468
27,423
11,280
7,355
3,043
21,678
Cost of capital
(477)
(319)
(692)
(1,488)
(438)
(229)
(713)
(1,380)
Cost of time value of guarantees
(87)
(911)
-
(998)
(88)
(1,012)
-
(1,100)
Net value of in-force business
14,807
7,354
2,776
24,937
10,754
6,114
2,330
19,198
Total net worth
3,665
4,451
7,531
15,647
2,955
3,373
7,123
13,451
Total embedded valuenote 9
18,472
11,805
10,307
40,584
13,709
9,487
9,453
32,649
 
*       The 2016 results for UK insurance operations have been prepared on a basis that reflects the Solvency II regime effective from 1 January 2016 (see note 2 for details). The 2015 comparative results in the table above are presented after the adjustments for the impact of Solvency II for UK insurance operations at 1 January 2016, together with the effect of a classification change, as discussed in note 9(v).
 
11 Analysis of movement in free surplus
 
For EEV covered business, free surplus is the excess of the regulatory basis net assets for EEV reporting purposes (net worth) over the capital required to support the covered business. Where appropriate, adjustments are made to the net worth so that backing assets are included at fair value rather than cost so as to comply with the EEV Principles. Free surplus for asset management operations and the UK general insurance commission is taken to be IFRS basis post-tax earnings and shareholders' equity, net of goodwill. Free surplus for other operations is taken to be EEV basis post-tax earnings and shareholders' equity for central operations, net of goodwill, with subordinated debt recorded as free surplus to the extent that it is classified as available capital under Solvency II.
Free surplus for insurance and asset management operations and Group total free surplus, including other operations, are shown in the tables below.
(i)   Underlying free surplus generated - insurance and asset management operations
The 2015 comparative results are shown below on both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER) bases. The 2015 CER comparative results are translated at 2016 average exchange rates.
 

2016 £m
2015* £m
% change


AER
CER
AER
CER
Asia operations





Underlying free surplus generated from






in-force life business
1,210
951
1,064
27%
14%
Investment in new businessnote (iii)(a)
(476)
(386)
(426)
(23)%
(12)%
Long-term business
734
565
638
30%
15%
Eastspring Investmentsnote (iii)(b)
125
101
112
24%
12%
Total
859
666
750
29%
15%
US operations





Underlying free surplus generated from






in-force life business
1,866
1,426
1,608
31%
16%
Investment in new businessnote (iii)(a)
(298)
(267)
(301)
(12)%
1%
Long-term business
1,568
1,159
1,307
35%
20%
Broker-dealer and asset managementnote (iii)(b)
(3)
7
8
(143)%
(138)%
Total
1,565
1,166
1,315
34%
19%
UK insurance operations





Underlying free surplus generated from






in-force life business
907
878
878
3%
3%
Investment in new businessnote (iii)(a)
(129)
(65)
(65)
(98)%
(98)%
Long-term business**
778
813
813
(4)%
(4)%
General insurance commissionnote (iii)(b)
23
22
22
5%
5%
Total
801
835
835
(4)%
(4)%
M&G
341
358
358
(5)%
(5)%
Prudential Capital
22
18
18
22%
22%
Underlying free surplus generated from






insurance and asset management operations
3,588
3,043
3,276
18%
10%






Representing:





Long-term business:





Expected in-force cash flows (including






expected return on net assets)
3,159
2,693
2,941
17%
7%
Effects of changes in operating assumptions,






experience variances and other items
824
562
609
47%
35%
Underlying free surplus generated from






in-force life business
3,983
3,255
3,550
22%
12%
Investment in new businessnote (iii)(a)
(903)
(718)
(792)
(26)%
(14)%
Total long-term business*,**
3,080
2,537
2,758
21%
12%
Asset management and general insurance






commissionnote (iii)(b)
508
506
518
0%
(2)%

3,588
3,043
3,276
18%
10%
 
*       The 2015 comparative results have been adjusted from those previously published for the reclassification of the results attributable to the held for sale Korea life business (see note 17 for details).
**     The 2016 results for UK insurance operations have been prepared on a basis that reflects the Solvency II regime effective from 1 January 2016 (see note 2 for details). The 2015 comparative results for UK insurance operations reflected the Solvency I basis being the regime applicable for the year.
 
(ii)   Underlying free surplus generated - total Group
 


2016 £m
2015* £m
% change



AER
CER
AER
CER
Underlying free surplus generated from






insurance and asset management operationsnote (i)
3,588
3,043
3,276
18%
10%
Other income and expenditure net of restructuring






and Solvency II costsnote (iii)(b)
(703)
(588)
(588)
(20)%
(20)%
Interest received on tax settlement
37
-
-
n/a
n/a
Group total underlying free surplus generated, including






other operations
2,922
2,455
2,688
19%
9%
 
*       The 2015 comparative results have been adjusted from those previously published for the reclassification of the results attributable to the held for sale Korea life business (see note 17 for details).
 
(iii)  Movement in free surplus - long-term business and asset management operations
 

2016 £m

 Long-term business
Asset management and UK general insurance commission
Total insurance and asset management operations
Central
and other
operations
Group
total

note 10
note (b)

note (b)

Underlying free surplus generated
3,080
508
3,588
(666)
2,922
Loss attaching to held for sale Korea life businessnote 10
(86)
-
(86)
-
(86)
Other non-operating itemsnote (c)
(932)
(38)
(970)
(169)
(1,139)

2,062
470
2,532
(835)
1,697
Net cash flows to parent companynote (d)
(1,236)
(482)
(1,718)
1,718
-
External dividends


-
(1,267)
(1,267)
Exchange rate movements, timing differences and






other itemsnote (e)
356
112
468
1,144
1,612
Net movement in free surplus
1,182
100
1,282
760
2,042
Balance at 1 January 2016:






Balance at beginning of year
5,642
1,124
6,766
1,224
7,990

Opening adjustments*
(1,473)
-
(1,473)
(345)
(1,818)

4,169
1,124
5,293
879
6,172
Balance at end of year
5,351
1,224
6,575
1,639
8,214






Representing:






Asia operations


2,142
-
2,142

US operations


2,418
-
2,418

UK operations


2,015
-
2,015

Other operations


-
1,639
1,639



6,575
1,639
8,214






Balance at 1 January 2016:*






Asia operations


1,814
-
1,814

US operations


1,733
-
1,733

UK operations


1,746
-
1,746

Other operations


-
879
879



5,293
879
6,172
 
*       Opening adjustments represent the impact of implementation of Solvency II at 1 January 2016 (see note 2 for details), together with the effect of a reclassification between long-term business and other operations, as discussed in note 9(v). Balance at 1January 2016 has been presented after the opening adjustments.
 
 


2015* £m

 Long-term business
Asset management and UK general insurance commission
Total insurance and asset management operations
Central
and other
operations
Group
total


note (b)

note (b)

Underlying free surplus generated
2,537
506
3,043
(588)
2,455
Disposal of Japan life business
23
-
23
-
23
Results of the held for sale Korea life businessnote 17
15
-
15
-
15
Other non-operating itemsnote (c)
(415)
(53)
(468)
29
(439)

2,160
453
2,613
(559)
2,054
Net cash flows to parent companynote (d)
(1,271)
(354)
(1,625)
1,625
-
External dividends
-
-
-
(974)
(974)
Exchange rate movements, timing differences and






other itemsnote (e)
560
159
719
(307)
412
Net movement in free surplus
1,449
258
1,707
(215)
1,492
Balance at beginning of year
4,193
866
5,059
1,439
6,498
Balance at end of year
5,642
1,124
6,766
1,224
7,990
 
*       The 2015 comparative results have been adjusted from those previously published for the reclassification of the results attributable to the held for sale Korea life business (see note 17 for details).
 
Notes
(a)   Free surplus invested in new business represents amounts set aside for required capital and acquisition costs.
(b)   Free surplus for asset management operations and the UK general insurance commission is taken to be IFRS basis post-tax earnings and shareholders' equity, net of goodwill. Free surplus for other operations is taken to be EEV basis post-tax earnings and shareholders' equity net of goodwill, with subordinated debt recorded as free surplus to the extent that it is classified as available capital under Solvency II.
(c)   Non-operating items are principally short-term fluctuations in investment returns and the effect of changes in economic assumptions for long-term business operations.
(d)   Net cash flows to parent company for long-term business operations reflect the flows as included in the holding company cash flow at transaction rates.
(e)   Exchange rate movements, timing differences and other items represent:



2016 £m



Long-term
business
Asset management and UK general insurance commission
Total
insurance and asset management operations
Central
and other
operations
Group
total

Exchange rate movements
633
83
716
48
764

Mark to market value movements on Jackson assets







backing surplus and required capitalnote 9
(11)
-
(11)
-
(11)

Other itemsnote (f)
(266)
29
(237)
1,096
859



356
112
468
1,144
1,612











2015 £m



Long-term
business
Asset management and UK general insurance commission
Total
insurance and asset management operations
Central
and other
operations
Group
total

Exchange rate movements
67
3
70
10
80

Mark to market value movements on Jackson assets







backing surplus and required capital
(76)
-
(76)
-
(76)

Other itemsnote (f)
569
156
725
(317)
408



560
159
719
(307)
412
 
(f)    Other items include the movements in subordinated debt for Other operations, together with the effect of intra-group loans and other non-cash items. The 2015 results also included the effect of a classification change of £702 million from Other operations to UK insurance operations in order to align with Solvency II segmental reporting, with no overall effect on the Group's EEV.
 
 
12 Expected transfer of value of in-force business and required capital to free surplus
 
The discounted value of in-force business and required capital can be reconciled to the 2016 and 2015 totals for the emergence of free surplus as follows:
 

2016 £m
2015* £m
Required capitalnote 10
10,296
9,282
Value of in-force business (VIF)note 10
24,937
19,198
Add back: deduction for cost of time value of guaranteesnote 10
998
1,100
Expected free surplus generation from the sale of Korea life businessnote 17
(76)
-
Other itemsnote
(1,430)
(1,714)
Total
34,725
27,866
 
*       In order to show the cash flows for UK insurance operations on a comparable basis, the 2015 comparative results for UK insurance operations reflect the impact of the implementation of Solvency II at 1 January 2016 (see note 2 for details).
 
Note
'Other items' represent amounts incorporated into VIF where there is no definitive timeframe for when the payments will be made or receipts received. In particular, other items include the deduction of the shareholders' interest in the estate, the value of which is derived by increasing final bonus rates so as to exhaust the estate over the lifetime of the in-force with-profits business. This is an assumption to give an appropriate valuation. To be conservative this item is excluded from the expected free surplus generation profile below.
 
Cash flows are projected on a deterministic basis and are discounted at the appropriate risk discount rate. The modelled cash flows use the same methodology underpinning the Group's EEV reporting and so are subject to the same assumptions and sensitivities.
 
The table below shows how the VIF generated by the in-force business and the associated required capital is modelled as emerging into free surplus over future years.
 


2016 £m


Expected period of conversion of future post-tax distributable earnings
and required capital flows to free surplus

2016 Total as
shown above
1-5 years
6-10 years
11-15 years
16-20 years
21-40 years
40+ years
Asia operations*
16,393
5,141
3,331
2,209
1,515
3,118
1,079
US operations
10,556
5,542
3,203
1,240
372
199
-
UK insurance operations
7,776
2,890
1,931
1,119
901
899
36
Total
34,725
13,573
8,465
4,568
2,788
4,216
1,115

100%
39%
25%
13%
8%
12%
3%
                                                                                                                                                                                                              
*       Asia operations exclude the cash flows in respect of the held for sale Korea life business.


2015 £m


Expected period of conversion of future post-tax distributable earnings
and required capital flows to free surplus

2015 Total as
shown above
1-5 years
6-10 years
11-15 years
16-20 years
21-40 years
40+ years
Asia operations
11,858
3,916
2,552
1,669
1,115
2,055
551
US operations
8,740
4,361
2,752
1,129
383
115
-
UK insurance operations**
7,268
2,446
1,812
1,198
866
920
26
Total**
27,866
10,723
7,116
3,996
2,364
3,090
577

100%
38%
26%
14%
9%
11%
2%
 
**     In order to show the cash flows for UK insurance operations on a comparable basis, the 2015 comparative results for UK insurance operations reflect the impact of the implementation of Solvency II at 1 January 2016 (see note 2 for details).
13 Sensitivity of results to alternative assumptions
(a)   Sensitivity analysis - economic assumptions
The tables below show the sensitivity of the embedded value as at 31 December 2016 and 31 December 2015 and the new business contribution after the effect of required capital for 2016 and 2015 to:
-    1 per cent increase in the discount rates;
-    1 per cent increase in interest rates, including all consequential changes (assumed investment returns for all asset classes, market values of fixed interest assets, risk discount rates);
-    0.5 per cent decrease in interest rates* (1 per cent decrease for 2015), including all consequential changes (assumed investment returns for all asset classes, market values of fixed interest assets, risk discount rates);
-    1 per cent rise in equity and property yields;
-    10 per cent fall in market value of equity and property assets (embedded value only);
-    The statutory minimum capital level by contrast to EEV basis required capital for (embedded value only); and
-    5 basis points increase in UK long-term expected defaults.
 
*       To reflect the current level of low interest rates, the sensitivity of new business contribution and embedded value to a 0.5 per cent reduction in interest rates is shown for 2016.
 
In each sensitivity calculation, all other assumptions remain unchanged except where they are directly affected by the revised economic conditions.
 
New business contribution


















2016 £m
2015 £m

Asia operations
US operations
UK insurance operations
Total
long-term
business
operations
Asia operations*
US operations
UK insurance operations**
Total
long-term
business
operations
New business contributionnote 4
2,030
790
268
3,088
1,482
809
318
2,609
Discount rates - 1% increase
(375)
(43)
(32)
(450)
(254)
(38)
(40)
(332)
Interest rates - 1% increase
51
64
27
142
30
80
7
117
Interest rates - 1% decrease
-
-
-
-
(78)
(127)
(9)
(214)
Interest rates - 0.5% decrease
(30)
(49)
(15)
(94)
-
-
-
-
Equity/property yields - 1% rise
129
91
28
248
71
95
20
186
Long-term expected defaults - 5 bps increase
-
-
(2)
(2)
-
-
(8)
(8)
 
*       In order to show the Asia long-term business on a comparable basis, the 2015 comparatives for new business contribution have been adjusted from those previously published for the reclassification of the results attributable to the held for sale Korea life business (see note 17 for details).
**     The 2016 results for UK insurance operations have been prepared on a basis that reflects the Solvency II regime effective from 1 January 2016 (see note 2 for details). The 2015 comparative results for UK insurance operations reflect the Solvency I basis being the regime applicable for the year.
 
Embedded value of long-term business operations














31 Dec 2016 £m
31 Dec 2015 £m

Asia
operations
US
operations
UK
insurance
operations
Total
long-term
business
operations
Asia
operations
US
operations
UK
insurance
operations*
 Total
long-term
business
operations
Shareholders' equitynote 9
18,472
11,805
10,307
40,584
13,643
9,487
9,647
32,777
Discount rates - 1% increase
 (2,078)
 (379)
 (809)
 (3,266)
 (1,448)
 (271)
 (586)
 (2,305)
Interest rates - 1% increase
 (701)
 (241)
 (638)
 (1,580)
 (380)
 (46)
 (328)
 (754)
Interest rates - 1% decrease
-
-
-
-
132
 (93)
426
465
Interest rates - 0.5% decrease
248
25
369
642
-
-
-
-
Equity/property yields - 1% rise
771
653
314
1,738
506
514
271
 1,291
Equity/property market values - 10% fall
 (361)
 (11)
 (399)
 (771)
 (246)
 (411)
 (373)
 (1,030)
Statutory minimum capital
150
223
-
373
148
162
4
314
Long-term expected defaults - 5 bps increase
-
-
 (138)
 (138)
-
-
 (141)
 (141)
 
*       The 2016 results for UK insurance operations have been prepared on a basis that reflects the Solvency II regime effective from 1 January 2016 (see note 2 for details). The 2015 comparative results for UK insurance operations reflect the Solvency I basis being the regime applicable for the year.
 
The sensitivities shown above are for the impact of instantaneous changes on the embedded value of long-term business operations and include the combined effect on the value of in-force business and net assets at the balance sheet dates indicated. If the change in assumptions shown in the sensitivities were to occur, then the effect shown above would be recorded within two components of the profit analysis for the following year. These are for the effect of economic assumption changes and short-term fluctuations in investment returns. In addition to the sensitivity effects shown above, the other components of the profit for the following year would be calculated by reference to the altered assumptions, for example new business contribution and unwind of discount, together with the effect of other changes such as altered corporate bond spreads. In addition for changes in interest rates, the effect shown above for Jackson would also be recorded within the fair value movements on assets backing surplus and required capital, which are taken directly to shareholders' equity.
 
(b)   Sensitivity analysis - non-economic assumptions
The tables below show the sensitivity of the embedded value as at 31 December 2016 and 31 December 2015 and the new business contribution after the effect of required capital for 2016 and 2015 to:
-    10 per cent proportionate decrease in maintenance expenses (a 10 per cent sensitivity on a base assumption of £10 per annum would represent an expense assumption of £9 per annum);
-    10 per cent proportionate decrease in lapse rates (a 10 per cent sensitivity on a base assumption of 5 per cent would represent a lapse rate of 4.5 per cent per annum); and
-    5 per cent proportionate decrease in base mortality and morbidity rates (ie increased longevity).
 
New business contribution


















2016 £m
2015 £m


Asia operations
US
operations
UK
insurance
operations
Total
long-term
business
operations
Asia operations*
US
operations
UK
insurance
operations**
Total
long-term
business
operations
New business contributionnote 4
2,030
790
268
3,088
1,482
809
318
2,609
Maintenance expenses - 10% decrease
33
10
3
46
27
8
2
37
Lapse rates - 10% decrease
132
26
11
169
104
25
9
138
Mortality and morbidity - 5% decrease
57
4
(4)
57
49
1
(13)
37
Change representing effect on:









Life business
57
4
-
61
49
1
1
51

UK annuities
-
-
(4)
(4)
-
-
(14)
(14)
 
*       In order to show the Asia long-term business on a comparable basis, the 2015 comparatives for new business contribution have been adjusted from those previously published for the reclassification of the results attributable to the held for sale Korea life business (see note 17 for details).
**     The 2016 results for UK insurance operations have been prepared on a basis that reflects the Solvency II regime effective from 1 January 2016 (see note 2 for details). The 2015 comparative results for UK insurance operations reflect the Solvency I basis being the regime applicable for the year.
 
Embedded value of long-term business operations


















31 Dec 2016 £m
31 Dec 2015 £m


Asia
operations
US
operations
UK
insurance
operations
Total
long-term
business
operations
Asia
operations
US
operations
UK
insurance
operations*
Total
long-term
business
operations
Shareholders' equitynote 9
18,472
11,805
10,307
40,584
13,643
9,487
9,647
32,777
Maintenance expenses - 10% decrease
187
104
91
382
153
80
68
301
Lapse rates - 10% decrease
659
533
79
1,271
508
394
75
977
Mortality and morbidity - 5% decrease
554
192
(302)
444
449
172
(299)
322
Change representing effect on:









Life business
554
192
12
758
449
172
11
632

UK annuities
-
-
(314)
(314)
-
-
(310)
(310)
 
*       The 2016 results for UK insurance operations have been prepared on a basis that reflects the Solvency II regime effective from 1 January 2016 (see note 2 for details). The 2015 comparative results for UK insurance operations reflect the Solvency I basis being the regime applicable for the year.
 
14 Methodology and accounting presentation
(a)   Methodology
 
Overview
The embedded value is the present value of the shareholders' interest in the earnings distributable from assets allocated to covered business after sufficient allowance has been made for the aggregate risks in that business. The shareholders' interest in the Group's long-term business comprises:
 
-    the present value of future shareholder cash flows from in-force covered business (value of in-force business), less deductions for:
-      the cost of locked-in required capital; and
-      the time value of cost of options and guarantees;
-    locked-in required capital; and
-    the shareholders' net worth in excess of required capital (free surplus).
 
The value of future new business is excluded from the embedded value.
 
Notwithstanding the basis of presentation of results as explained in note 14(b)(iii), no smoothing of market or account balance values, unrealised gains or investment return is applied in determining the embedded value or profit. Separately, the analysis of profit is delineated between operating profit based on longer-term investment returns and other constituent items, as explained in note 14(b)(i).
(i)    Covered business
The EEV results for the Group are prepared for 'covered business', as defined by the EEV Principles. Covered business represents the Group's long-term insurance business, including the Group's investments in joint venture and associate insurance operations, for which the value of new and in-force contracts is attributable to shareholders. The post-tax EEV basis results for the Group's covered business are then combined with the post-tax IFRS basis results of the Group's asset management and other operations. Under the EEV Principles, the results for covered business incorporate the projected margins of attaching internal asset management, as described in note 14(a)(vii).
The definition of long-term business operations comprises those contracts falling under the definition for regulatory purposes together with, for US operations, contracts that are in substance the same as guaranteed investment contracts (GICs) but do not fall within the technical definition.
Covered business comprises the Group's long-term business operations, with two exceptions:
-       the closed Scottish Amicable Insurance Fund (SAIF) which is excluded from covered business. SAIF is a ring-fenced sub-fund of the Prudential Assurance Company (PAC) long-term fund, established by a Court-Approved Scheme of Arrangement in October 1997. SAIF is closed to new business and the assets and liabilities of the fund are wholly attributable to the policyholders of the fund.
-       the presentational treatment of the Group's principal defined benefit pension scheme, the Prudential Staff Pension Scheme (PSPS). The partial recognition of the surplus for PSPS is recognised in 'Other' operations.
A small amount of UK group pensions business is also not modelled for EEV reporting purposes.
(ii)   Valuation of in-force and new business
The embedded value results are prepared incorporating best estimate assumptions about all relevant factors including levels of future investment returns, expenses, persistency, mortality and morbidity, as described in note 15. These assumptions are used to project future cash flows. The present value of the future cash flows is then calculated using a discount rate which reflects both the time value of money and the non-diversifiable risks associated with the cash flows that are not otherwise allowed for.
New business
In determining the EEV basis value of new business, premiums are included in projected cash flows on the same basis of
distinguishing annual and single premium business as set out for statutory basis reporting.
New business premiums reflect those premiums attaching to covered business, including premiums for contracts classified as investment products for IFRS basis reporting. New business premiums for regular premium products are shown on an annualised basis. Internal vesting business is classified as new business where the contracts include an open market option.
The post-tax contribution from new business represents profits determined by applying operating assumptions as at the end of the year.
For UK immediate annuity business and single premium Universal Life products in Asia, primarily in Singapore, the new business contribution is determined by applying economic assumptions reflecting point-of-sale market conditions. This is consistent with how the business is priced as crediting rates are linked to yields on specific assets and the yield is locked in when the assets are purchased at the point of sale of the policy. For other business within the Group, end-of-year economic assumptions are used.
New business profitability is a key metric for the Group's management of the development of the business. In addition, post-tax new business margins are shown by reference to annual premium equivalents (APE) and the present value of new business premiums (PVNBP). These margins are calculated as the percentage of the value of new business profit to APE and PVNBP. APE is calculated as the aggregate of regular premiums and one-tenth of single premiums. PVNBP is calculated as equalling single premiums plus the present value of expected premiums of regular premium new business, allowing for lapses and other assumptions made in determining the EEV new business contribution.
Valuation movements on investments
With the exception of debt securities held by Jackson, investment gains and losses during the year (to the extent that changes in capital values do not directly match changes in liabilities) are included directly in the profit for the year and shareholders' equity as they arise.
The results for any covered business conceptually reflect the aggregate of the IFRS results and the movements on the additional shareholders' interest recognised on the EEV basis. Thus the start point for the calculation of the EEV results for Jackson, as for other businesses, reflects the market value movements recognised on an IFRS basis.
However, in determining the movements on the additional shareholders' interest, the basis for calculating the EEV result for Jackson acknowledges that, for debt securities backing liabilities, the aggregate EEV results reflect the fact that the value of in-force business instead incorporates the discounted value of future spread earnings. This value is not affected generally by short-term market movements on securities that, broadly speaking, are held for the longer term.
Fixed income securities backing the free surplus and required capital for Jackson are accounted for at fair value. However, consistent with the treatment applied under IFRS for Jackson securities classified as available-for-sale, movements in unrealised appreciation (depreciation) on these securities are accounted for in equity rather than in the income statement, as shown in the movement in shareholders' equity.
(iii)  Cost of capital
A charge is deducted from the embedded value for the cost of locked-in required capital supporting the Group's long-term business. The cost is the difference between the nominal value of the capital and the discounted value of the projected releases of this capital, allowing for post-tax investment earnings on the capital.
The annual result is affected by the movement in this cost from year to year which comprises a charge against new business profit and generally a release in respect of the reduction in capital requirements for business in force as this runs off.
Where required capital is held within a with-profits long-term fund, the value placed on surplus assets in the fund is already discounted to reflect its release over time and no further adjustment is necessary in respect of required capital.
(iv)  Financial options and guarantees
Nature of financial options and guarantees in Prudential's long-term business
Asia operations
Subject to local market circumstances and regulatory requirements, the guarantee features described below in respect of UK business broadly apply to similar types of participating contracts principally written in Hong Kong, Singapore and Malaysia. Participating products have both guaranteed and non-guaranteed elements.
There are also various non-participating long-term products with guarantees. The principal guarantees are those for whole-of-life contracts with floor levels of policyholder benefits that accrue at rates set at inception and do not vary subsequently with market conditions.
US operations (Jackson)
The principal financial options and guarantees in Jackson are associated with the fixed annuity (FA) and variable annuity (VA) lines of business.
Fixed annuities provide that, at Jackson's discretion, it may reset the interest rate credited to policyholders' accounts, subject to a guaranteed minimum. The guaranteed minimum return varies from 1.0 per cent to 5.5 per cent for both years, depending on the particular product, jurisdiction where issued, and date of issue. For 2016, 87 per cent (2015: 87 per cent) of the account values on fixed annuities are for policies with guarantees of 3 per cent or less. The average guarantee rate is 2.6 per cent (2015: 2.6 per cent).
Fixed annuities also present a risk that policyholders will exercise their option to surrender their contracts in periods of rapidly rising interest rates, possibly requiring Jackson to liquidate assets at an inopportune time.
Jackson issues VA contracts where it contractually guarantees to the contract holder either: a) return of no less than total deposits made to the contract adjusted for any partial withdrawals; b) total deposits made to the contract adjusted for any partial withdrawals plus a minimum return; or c) the highest contract value on a specified anniversary date adjusted for any withdrawals following the specified contract anniversary. These guarantees include benefits that are payable upon depletion of funds (Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefit (GMWB)), as death benefits (Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefits (GMDB)), or as income benefits (Guaranteed Minimum Income Benefits (GMIB)). These guarantees generally protect the policyholders' value in the event of poor equity market performance. Jackson hedges the GMWB and GMDB guarantees through the use of equity options and futures contracts, and fully reinsures the GMIB guarantees.
Jackson also issues fixed index annuities (FIA) that enable policyholders to obtain a portion of an equity-linked return while providing a guaranteed minimum return. The guaranteed minimum returns are of a similar nature to those described above for fixed annuities.
UK insurance operations
For covered business, the only significant financial options and guarantees in the UK insurance operations arise in the with-profits fund.
With-profits products provide returns to policyholders through bonuses that are smoothed. There are two types of bonuses - annual and final. Annual bonuses are declared once a year and, once credited, are guaranteed in accordance with the terms of the particular product. Unlike annual bonuses, final bonuses are guaranteed only until the next bonus declaration. The PAC with-profits fund also held a provision on the Solvency II basis of £62 million at 31 December 2016 (Pillar I Peak 2 basis at 31 December 2015: £47 million) to honour guarantees on a small number of guaranteed annuity option products.
The Group's main exposure to guaranteed annuity options in the UK is through the non-covered business of SAIF. A provision on the Solvency II basis of £571 million was held in SAIF at 31 December 2016 (Pillar I Peak 2 basis at 31 December 2015: £412 million) to honour the guarantees. As described in note 14(a)(i), the assets and liabilities are wholly attributable to the policyholders of the fund. Therefore the movement in the provision has no direct impact on shareholders' funds.
 
Time value
The value of financial options and guarantees comprises two parts:
-       The first part arises from a deterministic valuation on best estimate assumptions (the intrinsic value).
-       The second part arises from the variability of economic outcomes in the future (the time value).
 
Where appropriate, a full stochastic valuation has been undertaken to determine the time value of the financial options and guarantees.
The economic assumptions used for the stochastic calculations are consistent with those used for the deterministic calculations. Assumptions specific to the stochastic calculations reflect local market conditions and are based on a combination of actual market data, historic market data and an assessment of long-term economic conditions. Common principles have been adopted across the Group for the stochastic asset models, for example, separate modelling of individual asset classes but with an allowance for correlation between the various asset classes. Details of the key characteristics of each model are given in notes 15(iv), (v) and (vi).
In deriving the time value of financial options and guarantees, management actions in response to emerging investment and fund solvency conditions have been modelled. Management actions encompass, but are not confined to investment allocation decisions, levels of reversionary and terminal bonuses and credited rates. Bonus rates are projected from current levels and varied in accordance with assumed management actions applying in the emerging investment and fund solvency conditions.
In all instances, the modelled actions are in accordance with approved local practice and therefore reflect the options actually available to management. For the PAC with-profits fund, the actions assumed are consistent with those set out in the Principles and Practices of Financial Management which explains how regular and final bonus rates within the discretionary framework are determined, subject to the general legislative requirements applicable.
 
(v)   Level of required capital
In adopting the EEV Principles, Prudential has based required capital on its internal targets subject to it being at least the local statutory minimum requirements.
For with-profits business written in a segregated life fund, as is the case in Asia and the UK, the capital available in the fund is sufficient to meet the required capital requirements. Following the implementation of Solvency II which became effective on 1 January 2016, a portion of future shareholder transfers expected from the with-profits fund is recognised within net worth, together with the associated capital requirements.
For shareholder-backed business the following capital requirements apply:
 
-    Asia operations: the level of required capital has been set to an amount at least equal to the higher of local statutory requirements and the internal target;
-    US operations: the level of required capital has been set at 250 per cent of the risk-based capital (RBC) required by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) at the Company Action Level (CAL); and
-    UK insurance operations: the capital requirements are set at the Solvency II Solvency Capital Requirement (SCR) for shareholder-backed business as a whole; for 2015, the capital requirements were set to an amount at least equal to the higher of Solvency I Pillar I and Pillar II requirements for shareholder-backed business as a whole.
 
(vi)  With-profits business and the treatment of the estate
The proportion of surplus allocated to shareholders from the PAC with-profits fund has been based on the present level of 10 per cent. The value attributed to the shareholders' interest in the estate is derived by increasing final bonus rates (and related shareholder transfers) so as to exhaust the estate over the lifetime of the in-force with-profits business. In any scenarios where the total assets of the life fund are insufficient to meet policyholder claims in full, the excess cost is fully attributed to shareholders. Similar principles apply, where appropriate, for other with-profits funds of the Group's Asia operations.
(vii) Internal asset management
The in-force and new business results from long-term business include the projected value of profits or losses from asset management and service companies that support the Group's covered insurance businesses. The results of the Group's asset management operations include the current year profits from the management of both internal and external funds. EEV basis shareholders' other income and expenditure is adjusted to deduct the unwind of the expected internal asset management profit margin for the year. The deduction is on a basis consistent with that used for projecting the results for covered insurance business. Group operating profit accordingly includes the variance between actual and expected profit in respect of management of the assets for covered business.
(viii) Allowance for risk and risk discount rates
Overview
Under the EEV Principles, discount rates used to determine the present value of future cash flows are set by reference to risk-free rates plus a risk margin.
For Asia and US operations, the risk-free rates are based on 10-year local government bond yields.
For UK insurance operations, following the implementation of Solvency II on 1 January 2016, the EEV risk-free rate is based on the full term structure of interest rates, ie a yield curve, rather than using a flat 15-year gilt yield (as for 2015). This yield curve is used to determine the embedded value at the end of the reporting period.
The risk margin should reflect any non-diversifiable risk associated with the emergence of distributable earnings that is not allowed for elsewhere in the valuation. Prudential has selected a granular approach to better reflect differences in market risk inherent in each product group. The risk discount rate so derived does not reflect an overall Group market beta but instead reflects the expected volatility associated with the cash flows for each product category in the embedded value model.
Since financial options and guarantees are explicitly valued under the EEV methodology, discount rates under EEV are set excluding the effect of these product features.
The risk margin represents the aggregate of the allowance for market risk, additional allowance for credit risk where appropriate, and allowance for non-diversifiable non-market risk. No allowance is required for non-market risks where these are assumed to be fully diversifiable.
Market risk allowance
The allowance for market risk represents the beta multiplied by an equity risk premium. Except for UK shareholder-backed annuity business (as explained below) such an approach has been used for the Group's businesses.
The beta of a portfolio or product measures its relative market risk. The risk discount rates reflect the market risk inherent in each product group and hence the volatility of product cash flows. These are determined by considering how the profits from each product are affected by changes in expected returns on various asset classes. By converting this into a relative rate of return it is possible to derive a product-specific beta.
Product level betas reflect the most recent product mix to produce appropriate betas and risk discount rates for each major product grouping.
Additional credit risk allowance
The Group's methodology is to allow appropriately for credit risk. The allowance for total credit risk is to cover:
-    expected long-term defaults;
-    credit risk premium (to reflect the volatility in downgrade and default levels); and
-    short-term downgrades and defaults.
 
These allowances are initially reflected in determining best estimate returns and through the market risk allowance described above. However, for those businesses largely backed by holdings of debt securities these allowances in the projected returns and market risk allowances may not be sufficient and an additional allowance may be appropriate.
The practical application of the allowance for credit risk varies depending upon the type of business as described below:
Asia operations
For Asia operations, the allowance for credit risk incorporated in the projected rates of return and the market risk allowance are sufficient. Accordingly, no additional allowance for credit risk is required.
The projected rates of return for holdings of corporate bonds comprise the risk-free rate plus an assessment of long-term spread over the risk-free rate.
US operations (Jackson)
For Jackson business, the allowance for long-term defaults is reflected in the risk margin reserve (RMR) charge which is deducted in determining the projected spread margin between the earned rate on the investments and the policyholder crediting rate.
The risk discount rate incorporates an additional allowance for credit risk premium and short-term downgrades and defaults as shown in note 15(ii). In determining this allowance a number of factors have been considered. These factors, in particular, include:
-    How much of the credit spread on debt securities represents an increased credit risk not reflected in the RMR long-term default assumptions, and how much is liquidity premium (which is the premium required by investors to compensate for the risk of longer-term investments which cannot be easily converted into cash, and converted at the fair market value). In assessing this effect, consideration has been given to a number of approaches to estimating the liquidity premium by considering recent statistical data; and
-    Policyholder benefits for Jackson fixed annuity business are not fixed. It is possible in adverse economic scenarios to pass on a component of credit losses to policyholders (subject to guarantee features) through lower investment return rates credited to policyholders. Consequently, it is only necessary to allow for the balance of the credit risk in the risk discount rate.
The level of the additional allowance is assessed at each reporting period to take account of prevailing credit conditions and as the business in-force alters over time. The additional allowance for variable annuity business has been set at one-fifth of the non-variable annuity business to reflect the proportion of the allocated holdings of general account debt securities.
The level of allowance differs from that for UK annuity business for investment portfolio differences and to take account of the management actions available in adverse economic scenarios to reduce crediting rates to policyholders, subject to guarantee features of the products.
UK operations
(1) Shareholder-backed annuity business
For Prudential's UK shareholder-backed annuity business, Prudential has used a market consistent embedded value (MCEV) approach to derive an implied risk discount rate which is then applied to the projected best estimate cash flows.
In the annuity MCEV calculations, as the assets are generally held to maturity to match liabilities, the future cash flows are discounted using the swap yield curve plus an allowance for liquidity premium based on the Solvency II allowance for credit risk. The Solvency II allowance is set by European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority (EIOPA) using a prudent assumption that all future downgrades will be replaced annually, and allowing for the credit spread floor.
For the purposes of presentation in the EEV results, the results on this basis are reconfigured. Under this approach the projected earned rate of return on the debt securities held is determined after allowing for a best estimate credit risk allowance. The remaining elements of prudence within the Solvency II allowance are incorporated into the risk margin included in the discount rate, shown in note 14(iii).
In 2015, the allowance for liquidity premium was based on Prudential's assessment of the expected return on the assets backing the annuity liabilities after allowing for expected long-term defaults, a credit risk premium, an allowance for a 1-notch downgrade of the asset portfolio subject to credit risk; and an allowance for short-term downgrades and defaults.
(2) With-profits fund non-profit annuity business
For UK non-profit annuity business including that attributable to the PAC with-profits fund, the basis for determining the aggregate allowance for credit risk is consistent with that applied for UK shareholder-backed annuity business (as described above). The allowance for credit risk for this business is taken into account in determining the projected cash flows to the with-profits fund, which are in turn discounted at the risk discount rate applicable to all of the projected cash flows of the fund.
(3) With-profits fund holdings of debt securities
The UK with-profits fund holds debt securities as part of its investment portfolio backing policyholder liabilities and unallocated surplus. The assumed earned rate for with-profit holdings of corporate bonds is defined as the risk-free rate plus an assessment of the long-term spread over risk free, net of expected long-term defaults. This approach is similar to that applied for equities and properties for which the projected earned rate is defined as the risk-free rate plus a long-term risk premium.
Allowance for non-diversifiable non-market risks
The majority of non-market and non-credit risks are considered to be diversifiable. Finance theory cannot be used to determine the appropriate component of beta for non-diversifiable non-market risks since there is no observable risk premium associated with it that is akin to the equity risk premium. Recognising this, a pragmatic approach has been applied.
A base level allowance of 50 basis points is applied to cover the non-diversifiable non-market risks associated with the Group's businesses. For the Group's Asia operations in China, Indonesia, the Philippines, Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam, additional allowances are applied for emerging market risk ranging from 100 to 250 basis points. For the Group's US business and UK business, no additional allowance is necessary.
In 2015, for UK shareholder-backed annuity business, a further allowance of 50 basis points was used to reflect the longevity risk, which is covered by the solvency capital requirements following the implementation of Solvency II from 1 January 2016.
(ix)  Foreign currency translation
Foreign currency profits and losses have been translated at average exchange rates for the year. Foreign currency assets and liabilities have been translated at year-end exchange rates. The principal exchange rates are shown in note A1 of the IFRS financial statements.
(x)   Taxation
In determining the post-tax profit for the year for covered business, the overall tax rate includes the impact of tax effects determined on a local regulatory basis. Tax payments and receipts included in the projected cash flows to determine the value of in-force business are calculated using rates that have been announced and substantively enacted by the end of the reporting period.
(xi)  Inter-company arrangements
The EEV results for covered business incorporate annuities established in the PAC non-profit sub-fund from vesting pension policies in SAIF (which is not covered business). The EEV results also incorporate the effect of the reinsurance arrangement of non-profit immediate pension annuity liabilities of SAIF to the PAC non-profit sub-fund.
(b)   Accounting presentation
(i)    Analysis of post-tax profit
To the extent applicable, the presentation of the EEV post-tax profit for the year is consistent in the classification between operating and non-operating results with the basis that the Group applies for the analysis of IFRS basis results. Operating results reflect underlying results including longer-term investment returns (which are determined as described in note 14(b)(ii) below) and incorporate the following:
-    new business contribution, as defined in note 14(a)(ii);
-    unwind of discount on the value of in-force business and other expected returns, as described in note 14(b)(iii) below;
-    the impact of routine changes of estimates relating to operating assumptions, as described in note 14(b)(iv) below; and
-    operating experience variances, as described in note 14(b)(v) below.
Non-operating results comprise the recurrent items of:
-    short-term fluctuations in investment returns;
-    the mark to market value movements on core borrowings; and
-    the effect of changes in economic assumptions.
In addition, non-operating profit also includes the effect of adjustment to the carrying value of the held for sale Korea life business in 2016 and a reclassification of the result attributable to the held for sale Korea life business in both years (see note 17 for details).
Total profit attributable to shareholders and basic earnings per share include these items, together with actual investment returns. The Group believes that operating profit, as adjusted for these items, better reflects underlying performance.
(ii)   Investment returns included in operating profit
For the investment element of the assets covering the net worth of long-term insurance business, investment returns are recognised in operating results at the expected long-term rate of return. These expected returns are calculated by reference to the asset mix of the portfolio. For the purpose of calculating the longer-term investment return to be included in the operating result of the PAC with-profits fund of UK operations, where assets backing the liabilities and unallocated surplus are subject to market volatility, asset values at the beginning of the reporting period are adjusted to remove the effects of short-term market movements as explained in note 14(b)(iii) below.
For the purpose of determining the long-term returns for debt securities of US operations for FA and other general account business, a risk margin charge is included which reflects the expected long-term rate of default based on the credit quality of the portfolio. For Jackson, interest-related realised gains and losses are amortised to the operating results over the maturity period of the sold bonds and for equity-related investments, a long-term rate of return is assumed, which reflects the aggregation of end-of-period risk-free rates and equity risk premium. For US VA separate account business, operating profit includes the unwind of discount on the opening value of in-force business adjusted to reflect end-of-period projected rates of return with the excess or deficit of the actual return recognised within non-operating profit, together with the related hedging activity.
For UK annuity business, rebalancing of the asset portfolio backing the liabilities to policyholders may, from time to time, take place to align it more closely with the internal benchmark of credit quality that management applies. Such rebalancing will result in a change in the projected yield on the asset portfolio and the allowance for default risk. The net effect of these changes is included in the operating result for the year.
(iii)  Unwind of discount and other expected returns
The unwind of discount and other expected returns is determined by reference to:
-   the value of in-force business at the beginning of the year (adjusted for the effect of current year economic and operating assumption changes); and
-   required capital and surplus assets.
 
UK operations
In applying this general approach, the unwind of discount included in operating profit is determined by reference to the following:
 
-   The unwind is determined by reference to an implied single risk discount rate for 2016. Following the implementation of Solvency II the EEV risk-free rate is based on a yield curve (as set out in note 14a(viii) above), which is used to derive a single implied discount rate which, if this rate had been used, would reproduce the same embedded value as that calculated by reference to the yield curve. The difference between the operating profit determined using the single implied discount rate and that derived using the yield curve is included within non-operating profit.
-   For with-profits business, the opening value of in-force is adjusted for the effect of short-term investment volatility due to market movements (ie smoothed). In the summary statement of financial position and for total profit reporting, asset values and investment returns are not smoothed. At 31 December 2016, the shareholders' interest in the smoothed surplus assets used for this purpose only were £77 million lower (31 December 2015: £58 million lower) than the surplus assets carried in the statement of financial position.
 
(iv)  Effect of changes in operating assumptions
Operating profit includes the effect of changes to non-economic assumptions on the value of in-force at the end of the year. For presentational purposes the effect of changes is delineated to show the effect on the opening value of in-force as operating assumption changes, with the experience variances subsequently being determined by reference to the end-of-period assumptions (see note 14(b)(v) below).
 
(v)   Operating experience variances
Operating profit includes the effect of experience variances on non-economic assumptions, such as persistency, mortality and morbidity, expenses and other factors, which are calculated with reference to the end-of-period assumptions.
 
(vi)  Effect of changes in economic assumptions
Movements in the value of in-force business at the beginning of the year caused by changes in economic assumptions, net of the related change in the time value of cost of options and guarantees, are recorded in non-operating results. For UK insurance operations, the effect is after allowing for the recalculation of transitional measures on technical provisions.
 
 
15 Assumptions
 
Principal economic assumptions
The EEV basis results for the Group's operations have been determined using economic assumptions where the long-term expected rates of return on investments and risk discount rates are set by reference to year-end risk-free rates of return (defined below for each of the Group's insurance operations). Expected returns on equity and property asset classes and corporate bonds are derived by adding a risk premium, based on the Group's long-term view, to the risk-free rate.
     
The total profit that emerges over the lifetime of an individual contract as calculated using the embedded value basis is the same as that calculated under the IFRS basis. Since the embedded value basis reflects discounted future cash flows, under this methodology the profit emergence is advanced, thus more closely aligning the timing of the recognition of profit with the efforts and risks of current management actions, particularly with regard to business sold during the year.
 
(i)    Asia operationsnotes (b), (c)
The risk-free rates of return for Asia operations are defined as 10-year government bond yields at the end of the year.
 

Risk discount rate %

10-year government
bond yield %

Expected
long-term Inflation %

New business

In-force business



31 Dec
31 Dec

31 Dec
31 Dec

31 Dec
31 Dec

31 Dec
31 Dec

2016
2015

2016
2015

2016
2015

2016
2015
China
9.6
9.4

9.6
9.4

3.1
2.9

2.5
2.5
Hong Kongnotes (b), (d)
3.9
3.7

3.9
3.7

2.5
2.3

2.3
2.3
Indonesia
12.0
12.8

12.0
12.8

8.1
8.9

5.0
5.0
Malaysianote (d)
6.8
6.6

6.9
6.7

4.3
4.2

2.5
2.5
Philippines
11.6
11.3

11.6
11.3

4.8
4.6

4.0
4.0
Singaporenote (d)
4.2
4.3

5.0
5.1

2.5
2.6

2.0
2.0
Taiwan
4.0
4.0

4.0
3.9

1.2
1.0

1.0
1.0
Thailand
9.4
9.3

9.4
9.3

2.7
2.5

3.0
3.0
Vietnam
13.0
13.8

13.0
13.8

6.3
7.1

5.5
5.5
Total weighted risk discount ratenote (a)
5.3
5.9

6.1
6.4






 
Notes
(a)   The weighted risk discount rates for Asia operations shown above have been determined by weighting each country's risk discount rates by reference to the post-tax EEV basis new business contribution and the closing value of in-force business. The changes in the risk discount rates for individual Asia territories reflect the movements in 10-year government bond yields, together with the effects of movements in the allowance for market risk and changes in product mix.
(b)   For Hong Kong the assumptions shown are for US dollar denominated business. For other territories, the assumptions are for local currency denominated business.
(c)   Equity risk premiums in Asia range from 3.5 per cent to 8.7 per cent (2015: from 3.5 per cent to 8.6 per cent).
(d)   The mean equity return assumptions for the most significant equity holdings of the Asia operations are:
 


31 Dec 2016 %
31 Dec 2015 %

Hong Kong
6.5
6.3

Malaysia
10.2
10.2

Singapore
8.5
8.6
 
(ii)   US operations
The risk-free rates of return for US operations are defined as 10-year treasury bond yield at the end of the year.
 



31 Dec 2016 %
31 Dec 2015 %
Assumed new business spread margins:*



Fixed annuity business:**




January to June issues 
1.25
1.25


July to December issues
1.25
1.50

Fixed index annuity business:




January to June issues 
1.50
1.50


July to December issues
1.50
1.75

Institutional business
0.50
0.70
Allowance for long-term defaults included in projected spreadnote 14(a)(viii)
0.21
0.24
Risk discount rate:



Variable annuity:




Risk discount rate
6.9
6.8


Additional allowance for credit risk included in risk discount ratenote 14(a)(viii)
0.2
0.2

Non-variable annuity:




Risk discount rate
4.1
3.9


Additional allowance for credit risk included in risk discount ratenote 14(a)(viii)
1.0
1.0

Weighted average total:




New business
6.8
6.7


In-force business
6.5
6.2
US 10-year treasury bond yield
2.5
2.3
Pre-tax expected long-term nominal rate of return for US equities
6.5
6.3
Expected long-term rate of inflation
3.0
2.8
Equity risk premium
4.0
4.0
S&P equity return volatilitynote (v)
18.0
18.0
 
*       including the proportion of variable annuity business invested in the general account and fixed index annuity business, the assumed spread margin grades up linearly by 25 basis points to a long-term assumption over five years.
**     including the proportion of variable annuity business invested in the general account.
 
(iii)  UK insurance operations
Effective from 1 January 2016, following the implementation of Solvency II, the EEV risk-free rate is based on the full term structure of interest rates, ie a yield curve, which is used to determine the embedded value at the end of the reporting period. For 2016, these yield curves are used to derive pre-tax expected long-term nominal rates of investment return and risk discount rates. For the purpose of determining the unwind of discount in the analysis of operating profit, these yield curves are used to derive a single implied risk discount rate, as explained in note 14(a)(viii).
 
For 2015, risk-free rates of return and risk discount rates were based on a flat 15-year gilt yield at the end of the year.
 
The key economic assumptions are shown below for both years, for 2016 the single implied risk discount rate is shown, along with the 15-year nominal rate of return based on the yield curve. For 2015 the long-term nominal rates of return are shown.






31 Dec 2016 %
31 Dec 2015 %
Shareholder-backed annuity business:note (a)


Risk discount rate:



New business
3.9
5.7

In-force business
4.5
7.4
Pre-tax expected 15-year / long-term nominal rates of investment return:note (b)



New business
3.0
3.5

In-force business
2.8
3.5
With-profits and other business:


Risk discount rate:*



New business
4.7
5.6

In-force business
4.9
5.7
Pre-tax expected 15-year / long-term nominal rates of investment return:note (b)



Overseas equities
6.2 to 9.4
6.3 to 9.4

Property
4.5
5.2

15-year gilt yield
1.7
2.4

Corporate bonds
3.5
4.1
Expected 15-year / long-term rate of inflation
3.6
3.1
Equity risk premium
4.0
4.0
 
*       The risk discount rates for with-profits and other business shown above represents a weighted average total of the rates applied to determine the present value of future cash flows, including a portion of future with-profits business shareholders' transfers recognised in net worth
 
Notes
(a)   For shareholder-backed annuity business, the movements in the pre-tax long-term nominal rates of return and risk discount rates for new and in-force businesses reflect the effect of changes in asset yields (based on average yields for new business).
(b)   The table below shows the pattern of the UK risk-free Solvency II spot yield curve at the end of 31 December 2016:
 




31 Dec 2016


Year

1
5
10
15
20
Risk-free rate (%)

0.4
0.7
1.1
1.3
1.3
 
Stochastic assumptions
Details are given below of the key characteristics of the models used to determine the time value of the financial options and guarantees as referred to in note 14(a)(iv).
 
(iv)  Asia operations
 
-    The stochastic cost of guarantees is primarily of significance for the Hong Kong, Malaysia, Singapore and Taiwan operations.
-    The principal asset classes are government and corporate bonds.
-    The asset return models are similar to the models as described for UK insurance operations below.
-    The volatility of equity returns ranges from 18 per cent to 35 per cent, and the volatility of government bond yields ranges from 0.9 per cent to 2.3 per cent for both years.
 
(v)   US operations (Jackson)
 
-    Interest rates and equity returns are projected using a log-normal generator reflecting historical market data.
-    Corporate bond returns are based on treasury yields plus a spread that reflects current market conditions.
-    The volatility of equity returns ranges from 18 per cent to 27 per cent for both years, and the standard deviation of interest rates ranges from 2.3 per cent to 2.6 per cent (2015: from 2.2 per cent to 2.5 per cent).
 
(vi)  UK insurance operations
 
-    Interest rates are projected using a stochastic interest rate model calibrated to the current market yields.
-    Equity returns are assumed to follow a log-normal distribution.
-    The corporate bond return is calculated based on a risk-free return plus a mean-reverting spread.
-    Property returns are also modelled on a risk-free return plus a risk premium with a stochastic process reflecting total property returns.
-    The standard deviation of equities and property ranges from 15 per cent to 20 per cent for both years.
 
Operating assumptions
 
Best estimate assumptions
Best estimate assumptions are used for the cash flow projections, where best estimate is defined as the mean of the distribution of future possible outcomes. The assumptions are reviewed actively and changes are made when evidence exists that material changes in future experience are reasonably certain.
 
Assumptions required in the calculation of the value of options and guarantees, for example relating to volatilities and correlations, or dynamic algorithms linking liabilities to assets, have been set equal to the best estimates and, wherever material and practical, reflect any dynamic relationships between the assumptions and the stochastic variables.
 
Demographic assumptions
Persistency, mortality and morbidity assumptions are based on an analysis of recent experience, but also reflect expected future experience. Where relevant, when calculating the time value of financial options and guarantees, policyholder withdrawal rates vary in line with the emerging investment conditions according to management's expectations.
 
Expense assumptions
Expense levels, including those of service companies that support the Group's long-term business operations, are based on internal expense analysis investigations and are appropriately allocated to acquisition of new business and renewal of in-force business. Exceptional expenses are identified and reported separately. For mature business, it is Prudential's policy not to take credit for future cost reduction programmes until the savings have been delivered. For businesses which are currently sub-scale (China, Malaysia Takaful and Taiwan), expense overruns are reported where these are expected to be short-lived.
 
For Asia operations, the expenses comprise costs borne directly and recharged costs from the Asia regional head office, that are attributable to covered business. The assumed future expenses for these operations also include projections of these future recharges. Development expenses are charged as incurred.
 
Corporate expenditure, which is included in other income and expenditure, comprises:
-    expenditure for Group head office, to the extent not allocated to the PAC with-profits funds, together with Solvency II implementation and restructuring costs, which are charged to the EEV basis results as incurred; and
-    expenditure of the Asia regional head office that is not allocated to the covered business or asset management operations which is charged as incurred. These costs are primarily for corporate related activities and are included within corporate expenditure.
 
Tax rates
The assumed long-term effective tax rates for operations reflect the incidence of taxable profits and losses in the projected cash flows as explained in note 14(a)(x).
 
The local standard corporate tax rates applicable for the most significant operations for 2016 and 2015 are as follows:
 
Standard corporate tax rates

%
Asia operations:


Hong Kong
 
16.5 per cent on 5 per cent of premium income
Indonesia

25.0
        Malaysia 

2015: 25.0; from 2016: 24.0
Singapore

17.0
US operations

35.0
UK operations*

2015: 20.0; from 2017: 19.0; from 2020: 17.0
 
*       The Finance Bill included a reduction in the UK corporate tax rate from 18 per cent to 17 per cent effective from 1 April 2020. The impact of this reduction on the UK in-force business is shown in note 5(iv)(b).
 
 
16 New business premiums and contributionsnote (i)
 
 
Single premiums

Regular premiums

Annual premium and contribution equivalents (APE)
 
 Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP)*
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
note 14(a)(ii)
 
note 14(a)(ii)
 
2016 £m

2015 £m

2016 £m

2015 £m

2016 £m

2015 £m
 
2016 £m

2015 £m
Group insurance operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Asia**
2,397

1,938

3,359

2,518

3,599

2,712
 
19,271

14,428
US
15,608

 17,286

-

 -  

1,561

 1,729
 
15,608

 17,286
UK***
9,836

 6,955

177

 179

1,160

 874
 
10,513

 7,561
Group total excluding UK bulk annuities**
27,841

26,179

3,536

2,697

6,320

5,315
 
45,392

39,275
UK bulk annuities***
-

 1,508

-

 -  

-

 151
 
-

 1,508
Group total**
27,841

27,687

3,536

2,697

6,320

5,466
 
45,392

40,783
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Asia insurance operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cambodia
 -  

 -  

14

 8

14

 8
 
66

 38
Hong Kong
1,140

 546

1,798

 1,158

1,912

 1,213
 
10,930

 7,007
Indonesia
236

 230

255

 303

279

 326
 
1,048

 1,224
Malaysia
110

 100

233

 201

244

 211
 
1,352

 1,208
Philippines
91

 146

61

 44

70

 59
 
278

 287
Singapore
523

 454

299

 264

351

 309
 
2,627

 2,230
Thailand
80

 69

81

 88

89

 95
 
404

 422
Vietnam
6

 6

115

 82

116

 83
 
519

 343
SE Asia operations including
    Hong Kong
2,186

 1,551

2,856

 2,148

3,075

 2,304
 
17,224

 12,759
Chinanote (ii)
124

 308

187

 111

199

 142
 
880

 739
Taiwan
36

 45

146

 127

150

 131
 
499

 442
Indianote (iii)
51

 34

170

 132

175

 135
 
668

 488
Total Asia insurance operations**
2,397

1,938

3,359

 2,518

3,599

 2,712
 
19,271

14,428

 










 
 


US insurance operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Variable annuities
10,653

 11,977

 -  

 -  

1,065

 1,198
 
10,653

 11,977
Elite Access (variable annuity)
2,056

 3,144

 -  

 -  

206

 314
 
2,056

 3,144
Fixed annuities
555

 477

 -  

 -  

55

 48
 
555

 477
Fixed index annuities
508

 458

 -  

 -  

51

 46
 
508

 458
Wholesale
1,836

 1,230

 -  

 -  

184

 123
 
1,836

 1,230
Total US insurance operations
15,608

 17,286

-

 -  

1,561

 1,729
 
15,608

 17,286

 










 
 


UK and Europe insurance operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Individual annuities
546

 565

 -  

 -  

55

 57
 
546

 565
Bonds
3,834

 3,327

 -  

 -  

384

 333
 
3,835

 3,328
Corporate pensions
110

 175

121

 135

132

 152
 
479

 600
Individual pensions
2,532

 1,185

35

 32

289

 150
 
2,681

 1,295
Income drawdown
1,649

 1,024

 -  

 -  

165

 102
 
1,649

 1,024
Other products
1,165

 679

21

 12

135

 80
 
1,323

 749
Total Retail
9,836

 6,955

177

 179

1,160

 874
 
10,513

 7,561
Wholesale
-

 1,508

-

 -  

-

 151
 
-

 1,508
Total UK and Europe insurance
     operations
9,836

 8,463

177

 179

1,160

 1,025
 
10,513

 9,069

 










 
 


Group total**
27,841

27,687

3,536

2,697

6,320

5,466
 
45,392

40,783

 










 
 


Group total excluding UK bulk annuities**
27,841

26,179

3,536

2,697

6,320

5,315
 
45,392

39,275
 
*       For 2016, the risk discount rates used to calculate PVNBP for UK insurance operations are on a basis that reflects the Solvency II regime effective on 1 January  2016 (see note 2 for details). The 2015 comparative results for UK insurance operations reflect the Solvency I basis being the regime applicable for the year.
**     The new business premiums and contributions exclude the results attributable to the held for sale Korea life business (see note 17 for details). The 2015 comparatives have been similarly adjusted.
***    Following Prudential's withdrawal from the UK bulk annuity market, the 2015 comparative results for UK bulk annuities new business have been presented separately.
 
Notes
(i)    The tables shown above are provided as an indicative volume measure of transactions undertaken in the reporting period that have the potential to generate profits for shareholders. The amounts shown are not, and not intended to be, reflective of premium income recorded in the IFRS income statement. A reconciliation of APE and gross earned premiums on an IFRS basis is provided in Note E within the EEV unaudited financial information.
(ii)    New business in China is included at Prudential's 50 per cent interest in the China life operation.
(iii)   New business in India is included at Prudential's 26 per cent interest in the India life operation.
 
 
17 Agreement to sell Korea life business
 
In November 2016, the Group reached an agreement to sell the life insurance subsidiary in Korea, PCA Life Insurance, to Mirae Asset Life Insurance for KRW 170 billion (£114 million at 31 December 2016 closing exchange rate). Completion of the transaction is subject to regulatory approval.
 
Consistent with the classification of the business as held for sale for IFRS reporting, the EEV carrying value has been set to £105 million at 31 December 2016, representing the estimated proceeds, net of £9 million of related expenses.
 
In order to facilitate comparisons of the Group's retained businesses, the EEV basis operating profit excludes the contribution from the Korea life business. The 2015 comparative results have been similarly adjusted. For 2016, the post-tax result for the year of £5 million, including short-term fluctuations in investment returns and the effect of changes in economic assumptions, together with the £(415) million adjustment to the carrying value have given rise to an aggregate loss of £(410) million. The 2015 amount of £39 million represents the previously reported profit after tax for this business.
 
The tables below show the results of the held for sale Korea life business which were included in the Group's results for half year 2016 and full year 2015.
 
EEV post-tax results





Half year 2016 £m
Full year 2015 £m
Operating profit



New business contribution

3
8
Profit from business in force

3
33


6
41
Non-operating loss

(17)
(2)
Total profit after tax

(11)
39




Underlying free surplus generated



New business contribution

(9)
(27)
Profit from business in force

3
34


(6)
7
Non-operating profit

17
8
Total free surplus generated

11
15





 
 
 
 
 
 
New business premiums and contributions







Single premiums
£m
Regular premiums
£m
Annual premium and contribution equivalents (APE)
£m
Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP)
£m
Half year 2016

42
46
50
276
Full year 2015

182
123
141
780
 
 
Additional EEV financial information*
 
A   New Business
 
BASIS OF PREPARATION
 
The format of the schedules is consistent with the distinction between insurance and investment products as applied for previous financial reporting periods. With the exception of some US institutional business, products categorised as 'insurance' refer to those classified as contracts of long-term insurance business for regulatory reporting purposes, ie falling within one of the classes of insurance specified in part II of Schedule 1 to the Regulated Activities Order under Prudential Regulation Authority regulations.
 
The details shown for insurance products include contributions for contracts that are classified under IFRS 4 'Insurance Contracts' as not containing significant insurance risk. These products are described as investment contracts or other financial instruments under IFRS. Contracts included in this category are primarily certain unit-linked and similar contracts written in UK Insurance Operations, and Guaranteed Investment Contracts and similar funding agreements written in US Operations.
 
New business premiums for regular premium products are shown on an annualised basis. Internal vesting business is classified as new business where the contracts include an open market option. New business premiums reflect those premiums attaching to covered business, including premiums for contracts designed as investment products for IFRS reporting.
 
Investment products referred to in the tables for funds under management are unit trusts, mutual funds and similar types of retail fund management arrangements. These are unrelated to insurance products that are classified as investment contracts under IFRS 4, as described in the preceding paragraph, although similar IFRS recognition and measurement principles apply to the acquisition costs and fees attaching to this type of business.
 
Post-tax New Business Profit has been determined using the European Embedded Value (EEV) methodology set out in our EEV basis results supplement. The 2016 results for UK insurance operations have been prepared on a basis that reflects the Solvency II regime effective from 1 January 2016. The 2015 comparative results for UK insurance operations reflect the Solvency I basis being the regime applicable for the year.
 
In determining the EEV basis value of new business written in the period policies incept, premiums are included in projected cash flows on the same basis of distinguishing annual and single premium business as set out for statutory basis reporting.
 
Annual premium equivalent (APE) sales are subject to rounding.
 
*       The additional financial information is not covered by the KPMG independent audit opinion.
 
Notes to Schedules A(i) to A(v)
 
(1)   Prudential plc reports its results using both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER) so as to eliminate the impact of exchange translation.

Average rate**

Closing rate
Local Currency: £
2016
2015
% appreciation (depreciation) of local currency against GBP

31 Dec 2016
31 Dec 2015
% appreciation (depreciation) of local currency against GBP
China
8.99
9.61
7%

8.59
9.57
11%
Hong Kong
10.52
11.85
13%

9.58
11.42
19%
Indonesia
18,026.11
20,476.93
14%

16,647.30
20,317.71
22%
Malaysia
5.61
5.97
6%

5.54
6.33
14%
Singapore
1.87
2.10
12%

1.79
2.09
17%
Thailand
47.80
52.38
10%

44.25
53.04
20%
US
1.35
1.53
13%

1.24
1.47
19%
Vietnam
30,292.79
33,509.21
11%

28,136.99
33,140.64
18%
 
**     Average rate is for the 12 month period to 31 December.
 
(1a)   Insurance new business for overseas operations are converted using the year-to-date average exchange rate applicable at the time (AER). The sterling results for the second half of the year represent the difference between the year-to-date reported sterling results at the year end and the results for the first half of the year. The second half results therefore include the true up between the first half and full year average exchange rates applied to the first half sales.
(1b)   Insurance new business for overseas operations for 2015 has been calculated using constant exchange rates (CER).
(2)      Annual Equivalents, calculated as regular new business contributions plus 10 per cent of single new business contributions, are subject to rounding. Present value of new business premiums (PVNBPs) are calculated as equalling single premiums plus the present value of expected premiums of new regular premium business. In determining the present value, allowance is made for lapses and other assumptions applied in determining the EEV new business profit. For 2016, the risk discount rates used to calculate PVNBP for UK insurance operations are on a basis that reflects the Solvency II regime effective on 1 January 2016. The 2015 comparative results for UK insurance operations reflect the Solvency I basis being the regime applicable for the year.
(3)      Balance includes segregated and pooled pension funds, private finance assets and other institutional clients. Other movements reflect the net flows arising from the cash component of a tactical asset allocation fund managed by PPM South Africa.
(4)      New business in India is included at Prudential's 26 per cent interest in the India life operation.
(5)      Balance Sheet figures have been calculated at the closing exchange rate.
(6)      New business in China is included at Prudential's 50 per cent interest in the China life operation.
(7)      Mandatory Provident Fund (MPF) product sales in Hong Kong are included at Prudential's 36 per cent interest in Hong Kong MPF operation.
(8)      Investment flows for the period exclude year-to-date Eastspring Money Market Funds (MMF) gross inflows of £146,711 million (2015: £89,553 million) and net inflows of £403 million (2015: net inflows £1,066 million).
(9)      Total Group Investment Operations funds under management exclude MMF funds under management of £7,714 million at 31 December 2016 (31 December 2015: £6,006 million).
(10)   The 2016 results for UK insurance operations have been prepared on a basis that reflects the Solvency II regime effective from 1 January 2016. The 2015 comparative results for UK insurance operations reflect the Solvency I basis being the regime applicable for the year.
(11)   Following Prudential's withdrawal  from the UK bulk annuity market, the 2015 comparative results for UK bulk annuities new business have been presented separately.
(12)   The 2015 comparatives for Asia insurance operations have been adjusted to exclude the contribution from the held for sale Korea life business (APE sales of £141 million, PVNBP of £780 million, and new business contribution of £8 million).
 
Schedule A(i) New Business Insurance Operations (Actual Exchange Rates)
 

Single premium
Regular premium
Annual Equivalents
PVNBP

2016
2015

2016
2015

2016
2015

2016
2015


YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)

£m
£m

£m
£m

£m
£m

£m
£m

Group Insurance Operations












Asia(1a) (12)
2,397
1,938
24%
3,359
2,518
33%
3,599
2,712
33%
19,271
14,428
34%
US(1a)
15,608
17,286
(10)%
-
-
-
1,561
1,729
(10)%
15,608
17,286
(10)%
UK retail(11)
9,836
6,955
41%
177
179
(1)%
1,160
874
33%
10,513
7,561
39%
Group total excluding UK
    bulk annuities(12)
27,841
26,179
6%
3,536
2,697
31%
6,320
5,315
19%
45,392
39,275
16%
UK bulk annuities(11)
-
1,508
(100)%
-
-
-
-
151
(100)%
-
1,508
(100)%
Group Total(12)
27,841
27,687
1%
3,536
2,697
31%
6,320
5,466
16%
45,392
40,783
11%













Asia Insurance Operations(1a)












Cambodia
-
-
-
14
8
75%
14
8
75%
66
38
74%
Hong Kong
1,140
546
109%
1,798
1,158
55%
1,912
1,213
58%
10,930
7,007
56%
Indonesia
236
230
3%
255
303
(16)%
279
326
(14)%
1,048
1,224
(14)%
Malaysia
110
100
10%
233
201
16%
244
211
16%
1,352
1,208
12%
Philippines
91
146
(38)%
61
44
39%
70
59
19%
278
287
(3)%
Singapore
523
454
15%
299
264
13%
351
309
14%
2,627
2,230
18%
Thailand
80
69
16%
81
88
(8)%
89
95
(6)%
404
422
(4)%
Vietnam
6
6
-
115
82
40%
116
83
40%
519
343
51%
SE Asia Operations
    including Hong Kong
2,186
1,551
41%
2,856
2,148
33%
3,075
2,304
33%
17,224
12,759
35%
China(6)
124
308
(60)%
187
111
68%
199
142
40%
880
739
19%
Taiwan
36
45
(20)%
146
127
15%
150
131
15%
499
442
13%
India(4)
51
34
50%
170
132
29%
175
135
30%
668
488
37%
Total Asia Insurance
   Operations(12)
2,397
1,938
24%
3,359
2,518
33%
3,599
2,712
33%
19,271
14,428
34%













US Insurance Operations(1a)












Variable annuities
10,653
11,977
(11)%
-
-
-
1,065
1,198
(11)%
10,653
11,977
(11)%
Elite Access (variable annuity)
2,056
3,144
(35)%
-
-
-
206
314
(34)%
2,056
3,144
(35)%
Fixed annuities
555
477
16%
-
-
-
55
48
15%
555
477
16%
Fixed index annuities
508
458
11%
-
-
-
51
46
11%
508
458
11%
Wholesale
1,836
1,230
49%
-
-
-
184
123
50%
1,836
1,230
49%
Total US Insurance
    Operations
15,608
17,286
(10)%
-
-
-
1,561
1,729
(10)%
15,608
17,286
(10)%













UK & Europe Insurance
    Operations












Individual annuities
546
565
(3)%
 -  
 -  
-
55
57
(4)%
546
565
(3)%
Bonds
3,834
3,327
15%
 -  
 -  
-
384
333
15%
3,835
3,328
15%
Corporate pensions
110
175
(37)%
121
135
(10)%
132
152
(13)%
479
600
(20)%
Individual pensions
2,532
1,185
114%
35
32
9%
289
150
93%
2,681
1,295
107%
Income drawdown
1,649
1,024
61%
 -  
 -  
-
165
102
62%
1,649
1,024
61%
Other products
1,165
679
72%
21
12
75%
135
80
69%
1,323
749
77%
Total UK Retail
9,836
6,955
41%
177
179
(1)%
1,160
874
33%
10,513
7,561
39%
UK bulk annuities
-
1,508
(100)%
 -  
 -  
-
-
151
(100)%
-
1,508
(100)%
Total UK & Europe Insurance
    Operations
9,836
8,463
16%
177
179
(1)%
1,160
1,025
13%
10,513
9,069
16%













Group Total(12)
27,841
27,687
1%
3,536
2,697
31%
6,320
5,466
16%
45,392
40,783
11%













Group total excluding UK
    bulk annuities(11) (12)
27,841
26,179
6%
3,536
2,697
31%
6,320
5,315
19%
45,392
39,275
16%
 
Schedule A(ii) New Business Insurance Operations (Constant Exchange Rates)
 
Note:      In schedule A(ii) constant exchange rates (CER) have been used to calculate insurance new business for overseas operations for 2015.
 

Single premium
Regular premium
Annual Equivalents
PVNBP

2016
2015

2016
2015

2016
2015

2016
2015


YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)

£m
£m

£m
£m

£m
£m

£m
£m

Group Insurance Operations












Asia(1a) (1b) (12)
2,397
2,150
11%
3,359
2,805
20%
3,599
3,020
19%
19,271
16,081
20%
US(1a) (1b)
15,608
19,499
(20)%
-
-
-
1,561
1,950
(20)%
15,608
19,499
(20)%
UK retail(11)
9,836
6,955
41%
177
179
(1)%
1,160
874
33%
10,513
7,561
39%
Group total excluding UK
    bulk annuities(11) (12)
27,841
28,604
(3)%
3,536
2,984
18%
6,320
5,844
8%
45,392
43,141
5%
UK bulk annuities
-
1,508
(100)%
-
-
-
-
151
(100)%
-
1,508
(100)%
Group Total(12)
27,841
30,112
(8)%
3,536
2,984
18%
6,320
5,995
5%
45,392
44,649
2%













Asia Insurance Operations(1a) (1b)












Cambodia
 -  
 -  
-
14
8
75%
14
8
75%
66
43
53%
Hong Kong
1,140
616
85%
1,798
1,306
38%
1,912
1,368
40%
10,930
7,895
38%
Indonesia
236
262
(10)%
255
345
(26)%
279
371
(25)%
1,048
1,391
(25)%
Malaysia
110
106
4%
233
214
9%
244
225
8%
1,352
1,287
5%
Philippines
91
158
(42)%
61
48
27%
70
63
11%
278
311
(11)%
Singapore
523
510
3%
299
296
1%
351
347
1%
2,627
2,507
5%
Thailand
80
76
5%
81
96
(16)%
89
103
(14)%
404
462
(13)%
Vietnam
6
6
-
115
91
26%
116
92
26%
519
379
37%
SE Asia Operations
    including Hong Kong
2,186
1,734
26%
2,856
2,404
19%
3,075
2,577
19%
17,224
14,275
21%
China(6)
124
329
(62)%
187
119
57%
199
152
31%
880
789
12%
Taiwan
36
50
(28)%
146
141
4%
150
146
3%
499
491
2%
India(4)
51
37
38%
170
141
21%
175
145
21%
668
526
27%
Total Asia Insurance
   Operations(12)
2,397
2,150
11%
3,359
2,805
20%
3,599
3,020
19%
19,271
16,081
20%













US Insurance Operations(1a) (1b)












Variable annuities
10,653
13,512
(21)%
 -  
 -  
-
1,065
1,351
(21)%
10,653
13,512
(21)%
Elite Access (variable annuity)
2,056
3,547
(42)%
 -  
 -  
-
206
355
(42)%
2,056
3,547
(42)%
Fixed annuities
555
538
3%
 -  
 -  
-
55
54
2%
555
538
3%
Fixed index annuities
508
517
(2)%
 -  
 -  
-
51
52
(2)%
508
517
(2)%
Wholesale
1,836
1,385
33%
 -  
 -  
-
184
138
33%
1,836
1,385
33%
Total US Insurance
    Operations
15,608
19,499
(20)%
-
-
-
1,561
1,950
(20)%
15,608
19,499
(20)%













UK & Europe Insurance
    Operations












Individual annuities
546
565
(3)%
 -  
 -  
-
55
57
(4)%
546
565
(3)%
Bonds
3,834
3,327
15%
 -  
 -  
-
384
333
15%
3,835
3,328
15%
Corporate pensions
110
175
(37)%
121
135
(10)%
132
152
(13)%
479
600
(20)%
Individual pensions
2,532
1,185
114%
35
32
9%
289
150
93%
2,681
1,295
107%
Income drawdown
1,649
1,024
61%
 -  
 -  
-
165
102
62%
1,649
1,024
61%
Other products
1,165
679
72%
21
12
75%
135
80
69%
1,323
749
77%
Total UK Retail
9,836
6,955
41%
177
179
(1)%
1,160
874
33%
10,513
7,561
39%
UK bulk annuities
-
1,508
(100)%
-
 -  
-
-
151
(100)%
-
1,508
(100)%
Total UK & Europe Insurance
    Operations
9,836
8,463
16%
177
179
(1)%
1,160
1,025
13%
10,513
9,069
16%













Group Total(12)
27,841
30,112
(8)%
3,536
2,984
18%
6,320
5,995
5%
45,392
44,649
2%













Group total excluding UK
    bulk annuities(11) (12)
27,841
28,604
(3)%
3,536
2,984
18%
6,320
5,844
8%
45,392
43,141
5%
 
Schedule A(iii) Total Insurance New Business APE (Actual and Constant Exchange Rates)
 
Note: In schedule A(iii) amounts for the first half (H1) and second half (H2) of 2015 are presented on both actual exchange rate (AER) and constant exchange rate (CER).
 
 

AER
CER

2015
2016
2015
2016

H1
H2
H1
H2
H1
H2
H1
H2

£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
Group Insurance Operations








Asia(1a) (12)
1,292
1,420
1,605
1,994
1,408
1,612
1,700
1,899
US(1a)
857
872
782
779
965
985
827
734
UK retail(11)
393
481
593
567
393
481
593
567
Group total excluding UK bulk annuities(11) (12)
2,542
2,773
2,980
3,340
2,766
3,078
3,120
3,200
UK bulk annuities
117
34
-
-
117
34
-
-
Group Total(12)
2,659
2,807
2,980
3,340
2,883
3,112
3,120
3,200









Asia Insurance Operations(1a)








Cambodia
3
5
6
8
4
4
6
8
Hong Kong
519
694
868
1,044
582
786
919
993
Indonesia
183
143
125
154
200
171
133
146
Malaysia
105
106
109
135
104
121
115
129
Philippines
29
30
30
40
31
32
32
38
Singapore
153
156
142
209
168
179
151
200
Thailand
48
47
43
46
50
53
46
43
Vietnam
34
49
44
72
37
55
46
70
SE Asia Operations including Hong Kong
1,074
1,230
1,367
1,708
1,176
1,401
1,448
1,627
China(6)
89
53
109
90
94
58
114
85
Taiwan
61
70
56
94
66
80
61
89
India(4)
68
67
73
102
72
73
77
98
Total Asia Insurance Operations(12)
1,292
1,420
1,605
1,994
1,408
1,612
1,700
1,899









US Insurance Operations(1a)








Variable annuities
606
592
500
565
682
669
529
536
Elite Access (variable annuity)
166
148
99
107
187
168
104
102
Fixed annuities
23
25
28
27
27
27
30
25
Fixed index annuities
21
25
28
23
24
28
30
21
Wholesale
41
82
127
57
45
93
134
50
Total US Insurance Operations
857
872
782
779
965
985
827
734









UK & Europe Insurance Operations








Individual annuities
28
29
33
22
28
29
33
22
Bonds
156
177
196
188
156
177
196
188
Corporate pensions
76
76
74
58
76
76
74
58
Individual pensions
62
88
134
155
62
88
134
155
Income drawdown
39
63
81
84
39
63
81
84
Other products
32
48
75
60
32
48
75
60
Total UK Retail
393
481
593
567
393
481
593
567
UK bulk annuities
117
34
-
-
117
34
-
-
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
510
515
593
567
510
515
593
567









Group Total(12)
2,659
2,807
2,980
3,340
2,883
3,112
3,120
3,200









Group total excluding UK bulk annuities(11) (12)
2,542
2,773
2,980
3,340
2,766
3,078
3,120
3,200
 
Schedule A(iv) Investment Operations (Actual Exchange Rates)
 











2015


2016



H1
H2


H1
H2



£m
£m


£m
£m

Group Investment Operations








Opening FUM

162,380
163,488


156,686
162,384

Net Flows:(8)

2,186
(3,223)


(7,378)
1,123

    - Gross Inflows

32,078
22,392


15,894
24,239

    - Redemptions

(29,892)
(25,615)


(23,272)
(23,116)

Other Movements

(1,078)
(3,579)


13,076
11,298

Total Group Investment Operations(9)

163,488
156,686


162,384
174,805










M&G








Retail








Opening FUM

74,289
69,158


60,801
59,217

Net Flows:

(3,418)
(7,440)


(6,122)
(131)

    - Gross Inflows

14,264
6,836


6,160
9,625

    - Redemptions

(17,682)
(14,276)


(12,282)
(9,756)

Other Movements

(1,713)
(917)


4,538
5,123

Closing FUM

69,158
60,801


59,217
64,209










Comprising amounts for:








   UK

38,701
35,738


34,308
35,208

   Europe (excluding UK)

28,726
23,524


23,020
26,905

   South Africa

1,731
1,539


1,889
2,096



69,158
60,801


59,217
64,209










Institutional(3)








Opening FUM

62,758
64,242


65,604
70,439

Net Flows:

1,043
2,807


(844)
(993)

    - Gross Inflows

6,161
6,365


3,571
3,485

    - Redemptions

(5,118)
(3,558)


(4,415)
(4,478)

Other Movements

441
(1,445)


5,679
3,108

Closing FUM

64,242
65,604


70,439
72,554










Total M&G Investment Operations

133,400
126,405


129,656
136,763










PPM South Africa FUM included in Total M&G

5,108
4,365


5,354
6,047










Eastspring - excluding MMF(8)








Third Party Retail(7)








Opening FUM

21,893
26,017


25,541
27,155

Net Flows:

4,235
616


(787)
1,237

    - Gross Inflows

11,089
8,165


5,650
9,875

    - Redemptions

(6,854)
(7,549)


(6,437)
(8,638)

Other Movements

(111)
(1,092)


2,401
2,401

Closing FUM(5)

26,017
25,541


27,155
30,793










Third Party Institutional Mandates








Opening FUM

3,440
4,071


4,740
5,573

Net Flows:

326
794


375
1,010

    - Gross Inflows

564
1,026


513
1,254

    - Redemptions

(238)
(232)


(138)
(244)

Other Movements

305
(125)


458
666

Closing FUM(5)

4,071
4,740


5,573
7,249










Total Eastspring Investment Operations

30,088
30,281


32,728
38,042

 
Schedule A(v) Total Insurance New Business Profit (Actual and Constant Exchange Rates)
 
Note:      In schedule A(v) amounts for half year (HY) and full year (FY) 2015 and 2016 are presented on both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER) basis.
 

AER
CER

2015
2016
2015
2016

HY
FY
HY
FY
HY
FY
HY
FY

£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
New Business Profit(1a) (b)








Total Asia Insurance Operations(12)
660
1,482
821
2,030
723
1,660
869
2,030
Total US Insurance Operations
371
809
311
790
417
913
329
790
Total UK retail(10) (11)
80
201
125
268
80
201
125
268
Group total excluding UK bulk annuities(10) (11) (12)
1,111
2,492
1,257
3,088
1,220
2,774
1,323
3,088
UK bulk annuities
75
117
-
-
75
117
-
-
Group Total(12)
1,186
2,609
1,257
3,088
1,295
2,891
1,323
3,088









Annual Equivalent(1a) (b) (2)








Total Asia Insurance Operations(12)
1,292
2,712
1,605
3,599
1,408
3,020
1,698
3,599
Total US Insurance Operations
857
1,729
782
1,561
965
1,950
827
1,561
Total UK retail(11)
393
874
593
1,160
393
874
593
1,160
Group total excluding UK bulk annuities(11) (12)
2,542
5,315
2,980
6,320
2,766
5,844
3,118
6,320
UK bulk annuities
117
151
-
-
117
151
-
-
Group Total(12)
2,659
5,466
2,980
6,320
2,883
5,995
3,118
6,320









New Business Margin (NBP as % of APE)








Total Asia Insurance Operations(12)
51%
55%
51%
56%
51%
55%
51%
56%
Total US Insurance Operations
43%
47%
40%
51%
43%
47%
40%
51%
Total UK retail(10) (11)
20%
23%
21%
23%
20%
23%
21%
23%
Group total excluding UK bulk annuities(10) (11) (12)
44%
47%
42%
49%
44%
47%
42%
49%
UK bulk annuities
64%
77%
N/A
N/A
64%
77%
N/A
N/A
Group Total
45%
48%
42%
49%
45%
48%
42%
49%









PVNBP(1a) (b) (2)








Total Asia Insurance Operations(12)
6,942
14,428
8,679
19,271
7,579
16,081
9,178
19,271
Total US Insurance Operations
8,574
17,286
7,816
15,608
9,645
19,499
8,268
15,608
Total UK retail(10) (11)
3,355
7,561
5,267
10,513
3,355
7,561
5,267
10,513
Group total excluding UK bulk annuities(10) (11) (12)
18,871
39,275
21,762
45,392
20,579
43,141
22,713
45,392
UK bulk annuities
1,169
1,508
-
-
1,169
1,508
-
-
Group Total(12)
20,040
40,783
21,762
45,392
21,748
44,649
22,713
45,392









New Business Margin (NBP as % of PVNBP)








Total Asia Insurance Operations(12)
9.5%
10.3%
9.5%
10.5%
9.5%
10.3%
9.5%
10.5%
Total US Insurance Operations
4.3%
4.7%
4.0%
5.1%
4.3%
4.7%
4.0%
5.1%
Total UK retail(10) (11)
2.4%
2.7%
2.4%
2.5%
2.4%
2.7%
2.4%
2.5%
Group total excluding UK bulk annuities(10) (11) (12)
5.9%
6.3%
5.8%
6.8%
5.9%
6.4%
5.8%
6.8%
UK bulk annuities
6.4%
7.8%
N/A
N/A
6.4%
7.8%
N/A
N/A
Group Total
5.9%
6.4%
5.8%
6.8%
6.0%
6.5%
5.8%
6.8%
 
 
B Reconciliation of expected transfer of value of in-force business and required capital to free surplus
 
The tables below show how the value of in-force business (VIF) generated by the in-force long-term business and the associated required capital is modelled as emerging into free surplus over the next 40 years. Although a small amount (less than 3 per cent) of the Group's embedded value emerges after this date, analysis of cash flows emerging in the years shown in the tables is considered most meaningful. The modelled cash flows use the same methodology underpinning the Group's embedded value reporting and so are subject to the same assumptions and sensitivities used to prepare our 2016 results.
 
In addition to showing the amounts, both discounted and undiscounted, expected to be generated from all in-force business at 31 December 2016, the tables also present the expected future free surplus to be generated from the investment made in new business during 2016 over the same 40-year period.
 
(i) Expected transfer of value of in-force business (VIF) and required capital to free surplus





2016 £m


Undiscounted expected generation from
all in-force business at 31 December*

Undiscounted expected generation from
new business written*
Expected period of emergence
Asia**
US
UK
Total

Asia**
US
UK
Total
2017
1,320
1,446
675
3,441

188
270
27
485
2018
1,247
1,279
669
3,195

157
116
29
302
2019
1,202
1,273
636
3,111

170
123
29
322
2020
1,167
1,281
622
3,070

158
136
31
325
2021
1,142
1,282
606
3,030  

170
151
33  
354  
2022
1,122
1,152
591
2,865

148
84
30
262
2023
1,122
1,116
576
2,814

159
79
29
267
2024
1,098
1,067
557
2,722

154
165
29
348
2025
1,076
914
534
2,524

148
144
28
320
2026
1,050
865
508
2,423

160
159
27
346
2027
1,001
708
486
2,195

137
110
24
271
2028
991
597
451
2,039

142
100
23
265
2029
958
547
434
1,939

135
82
22
239
2030
940
424
409
1,773

132
72
21
225
2031
921
351
381
1,653

146
70
20
236
2032
879
321
490
1,690

130
53
18
201
2033
859
215
465
1,539

130
36
18
184
2034
834
162
438
1,434

127
35
17
179
2035
821
153
413
1,387

123
31
16
170
2036
805
118
392
1,315

130
30
15
175
2037-2041
3,905
699
1,542
6,146

621
55
65
741
2042-2046
3,564
-
1,053
4,617

607
-
66
673
2047-2051
3,257
-
554
3,811

593
-
14
607
2052-2056
2,999
-
301
3,300

585
-
8
593
Total free surplus expected to










emerge in the next 40 years
34,280
15,970
13,783
64,033

5,350
2,101
639
8,090
 
*       The analysis excludes amounts incorporated into VIF at 31 December 2016 where there is no definitive timeframe for when the payments will be made or receipts received. In particular, it excludes the value of the shareholders' interest in the estate. It also excludes any free surplus emerging after 2056.
**     Asia operations exclude the cash flows in respect of the held for sale Korea life business.
 
The above amounts can be reconciled to the new business amounts as follows:







2016 £m


Asia
US
UK
Total
Undiscounted expected free surplus generation for years 2017 to 2056
5,350
2,101
639
8,090
Less: discount effect
(2,968)
(746)
(259)
(3,973)
Discounted expected free surplus generation for years 2017 to 2056
2,382
1,355
380
4,117
Discounted expected free surplus generation for years 2056+
292
-
1
293
Less: Free surplus investment in new business
(476)
(298)
(129)
(903)
Other items***
(168)
(267)
16
(419)
Post-tax EEV new business profit
2,030
790
268
3,088
 
***    Other items represent the impact of the time value of options and guarantees on new business, foreign exchange effects and other non-modelled items. Foreign exchange effects arise as EEV new business profit amounts are translated at average exchange rates and the expected free surplus generation uses year end closing rates.
 
The undiscounted expected free surplus generation from all in-force business at 31 December 2016 shown below can be reconciled to the amount that was expected to be generated as at 31 December 2015 as follows:
 
Group
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021

Other

Total


£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m

£m

£m
2015 expected free surplus generation
   for years 2016 to 2055:
   As previously published
2,621
2,463
2,383
2,378
2,388
2,369

36,173

50,775
Effect of Solvency II implementation**
46
55
49
45
43
48

1,350

1,636


2,667
2,518
2,432
2,423
2,431
2,417

37,523

52,411
Less: Amounts expected to be realised
   in the current year
(2,667)
-
-
-
-
-

-

(2,667)
Less: Contribution from the held for sale Korea life business***
-
(40)
(40)
(37)
(35)
(33)

(537)

(722)
Add: Expected free surplus to be
   generated in year 2056*
-
-
-
-
-
-

394

394
Foreign exchange differences
-
370
355
350
354
346

5,023

6,798
New business
-
485
302
322
326
354

6,304

8,093
Operating movements
-
11
18
(16)
5
(36)

(521)

(274)
Non-operating and other movements
-
97
128
69
(11)
(18)


2016 expected free surplus generation
   for years 2017 to 2056
-
3,441
3,195
3,111
3,070
3,030

48,186

64,033
 
Asia
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021

Other

Total


£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m

£m

£m
2015 expected free surplus generation   
   for years 2016 to 2055
1,015
962
926
905
871
889

20,640

26,208
Less: Amounts expected to be realised
   in the current year
(1,015)
-
-
-
-
-

-

(1,015)
Less: Contribution from the held for sale Korea life business***
-
(40)
(40)
(37)
(35)
(33)

(537)

(722)
Add: Expected free surplus to be
    generated in year 2056*
-
-
-
-
-
-

358

358
Foreign exchange differences
-
179
172
163
158
157

3,737

4,566
New business
-
188
157
170
158
170

4,507

5,350  
Operating movements
-
33
34
8
24
(23)

(503)

(465)
Non-operating and other movements
-
(2)
(2)
(7)
(9)
(18)


2016 expected free surplus generation
   for years 2017 to 2056
-
1,320
1,247
1,202
1,167
1,142

28,202

34,280












US
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021

Other

Total


£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m

£m

£m
2015 expected free surplus generation
   for years 2016 to 2055
1,120
991
951
970
1,018
982

6,665

12,697
Less: Amounts expected to be realised
   in the current year
(1,120)
-
-
-
-
-

-

(1,120)
Foreign exchange differences
-
191
183
187
196
189

1,286

2,232
New business
-
270
116
123
136
151

1,305

2,101
Operating movements
-
(5)
(5)
(15)
(15)
(7)

153

60
Non-operating and other movements
-
(1)
34
8
(54)
(33)


2016 expected free surplus generation
   for years 2017 to 2056
-
1,446
1,279
1,273
1,281
1,282

9,409

15,970












UK
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021

Other

Total


£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m

£m

£m
2015 expected free surplus generation
   for years 2016 to 2055:
   As previously published
486
510
506
503
499
498

8,868

11,870
Effect of Solvency II implementation**
46
55
49
45
43
48

1,350

1,636


532
565
555
548
542
546

10,218

13,506
Less: Amounts expected to be realised
   in the current year
(532)
-
-
-
-
-

-

(532)
Add: Expected free surplus to be
   generated in year 2056*
-
-
-
-
-
-

36

36
New business
-
27
29
29
31
33

490

639
Operating movements
-
(17)
(11)
(9)
(4)
(6)

(169)

134
Non-operating and other movements
-
100
96
68
53
33


2016 expected free surplus generation
   for years 2017 to 2056
-
675
669
636
622
606

10,575

13,783
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
*       Excluding 2016 new business.
**     In order to show the cash flows for UK insurance operations on a comparable basis, the 2015 comparative results for UK insurance operations reflect the impact of the implementation of Solvency II at 1 January 2016 (see note 2 for details).
***    The contribution from the Korea life business has been removed from expected free surplus generation following its reclassification as held for sale.
 
At 31 December 2016, the total free surplus expected to be generated over the next five years (2017 to 2021 inclusive), using the same assumptions and methodology as those underpinning our 2016 embedded value reporting was £15.8 billion, an increase of £3.3 billion from the £12.5 billion expected over an equivalent period from the end of 2015, after allowing for the effect of the implementation of Solvency II on the opening balance sheet.
 
This increase primarily reflects the new business written in 2016, which is expected to generate £1,788 million of free surplus over the next five years.
 
At 31 December 2016, the total free surplus expected to be generated on an undiscounted basis in the next 40 years is £64.0 billion, up from the £52.4 billion expected at the end of 2015, after allowing for the effect of the implementation of Solvency II on the opening balance sheet, reflecting the effect of new business written across all three business operations of £8.1 billion and a positive foreign exchange translation effect of £6.8 billion. These positive effects have been offset by the negative impact of £(0.7) billion for the removal of the contribution from the Korea life business following its reclassification as held for sale and a £(0.3) billion net effect reflecting operating, market assumption changes and other items. In Asia, these include the negative impact from movements in long-term interest rates and other regular operating assumption changes. In the US, these mainly reflect the positive effect of higher future separate account growth due to the increase in interest rates and the impact of an increase in equity market returns in 2016, partially offset by the negative effect from the acceleration of free surplus from the contingent financing of specific US statutory reserves. In the UK, these mainly arise from the positive effect of higher than assumed investment returns on with-profits funds, partially offset by the negative effect of longevity reinsurance transactions entered into during the year. The longevity reinsurance transactions executed this year had the effect of accelerating the generation of future free surplus into 2016. The overall growth in the Group's undiscounted value of free surplus reflects our ability to write both growing and profitable new business.
 
Actual underlying free surplus generated in 2016 from life business in force at the end of 2016 was £4.0 billion including £0.8 billion of changes in operating assumptions and experience variances. This compares with the expected 2016 realisation at the end of 2015 of £2.7 billion. This can be analysed further as follows:

Asia
US
UK
Total

£m
£m
£m
£m
Transfer to free surplus in 2016
1,157
1,223
680
3,060
Expected return on free assets
39
47
13
99
Changes in operating assumptions and
    experience variances
14
596
214
824
Underlying free surplus generated from
     in-force life business in 2016
1,210
1,866
907
3,983





2016 free surplus expected to be generated at
    31 December 2015
1,015
1,120
532
2,667











The equivalent discounted amounts of the undiscounted expected transfers from in-force business and required capital into free surplus shown previously are as follows:


2016 £m


Discounted expected generation from all
in-force business at 31 December

Discounted expected generation from
long-term 2015 new business written
Expected period of emergence
Asia
US
UK
Total

Asia
US
UK
Total
2017
1,262
1,371
659
3,292

180
261
26
467
2018
1,113
1,141
628
2,882

137
105
27
269
2019
1,007
1,069
572
2,648

141
105
27
273
2020
916
1,009
535
2,460

124
108
28
260
2021
843
952
496
2,291

127
116
28
271
2022
769
803
458
2,030

104
60
25
189
2023
724
734
423
1,881

107
52
23
182
2024
664
658
387
1,709

99
101
21
221
2025
612
531
349
1,492

89
83
19
191
2026
562
477
314
1,353

91
90
17
198
2027
508
365
282
1,155

73
56
15
144
2028
476
292
245
1,013

72
48
14
134
2029
436
251
222
909

65
36
12
113
2030
408
185
197
790

60
30
11
101
2031
381
147
173
701

63
28
10
101
2032
346
131
218
695

55
19
9
83
2033
322
80
197
599

52
12
8
72
2034
299
61
178
538

49
11
7
67
2035
282
57
160
499

46
9
6
61
2036
266
43
148
457

47
8
6
61
2037-2041
1,154
199
515
1,868

203
17
24
244
2042-2046
853
-
197
1,050

163
-
12
175
2047-2051
638
-
129
767

131
-
3
134
2052-2056
473
-
58
531

104
-
2
106
Total discounted free surplus expected to emerge in the next 40 years
15,314
10,556
7,740
33,610

2,382
1,355
380
4,117
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
The above amounts can be reconciled to the Group's financial statements as follows:


2016 £m
Discounted expected generation from all in-force business for years 2017 to 2056
33,610
Discounted expected generation from all in-force business for years after 2056
1,115
Discounted expected generation from all in-force business at 31 December 2016
34,725
Add: Free surplus of life operations held at 31 December 2016
5,351
Less: Time value of guarantees
(998)
Expected free surplus generation from the sale of Korea life business
76
Other non-modelled items
1,430
Total EEV for life operations
40,584
 
(ii)  Expected emergence of risk margin release and amortisation of transitional
 
The 31 December 2016 Solvency II own funds included £2.5 billion of transitional relief (recalculated at the valuation date), the majority of which relates to UK annuity business in force on 1 January 2016, established to substantially mitigate the impact of recognising the related risk margin on transition to Solvency II. The following table sets out the expected UK annuity business risk margin release net of the related transitional amortisation over the next fifteen years.
 


2016 £m


Undiscounted expected generation from all in-force business at 31 December


Shareholder-backed annuity business
Other*
Total UK
Expected period of emergence
Risk margin
release
Amortisation of
transitional
2017
163
(116)
628
675
2018
153
(116)
632
669
2019
143
(116)
609
636
2020
141
(116)
597
622
2021
136
(116)
586
606
2022
134
(116)
573
591
2023
132
(116)
560
576
2024
127
(116)
546
557
2025
122
(116)
528
534
2026
117
(116)
507
508
2027
114
(116)
488
486
2028
104
(116)
463
451
2029
102
(116)
448
434
2030
97
(116)
428
409
2031
91
(116)
406
381
UK free surplus expected to emerge by 2031
1,876
(1,740)
7,999
8,135
Total UK free surplus expected to emerge
from 2032 to 2056


5,648
Total UK free surplus expected to emerge
in the next 40 years (note B(i))


13,783
 
*       Including other UK business lines and other cash flows from annuity business.
 
The UK annuity risk margin release and related transitional amortisation, together with associated tax reconcile to the amounts shown in the Group Solvency II balance sheet (note II(c) of the IFRS additional unaudited financial information) as follows:
 

Risk margin release
£bn
Amortisation of transitional
£bn
Annuity in-force business:


- Risk margin release less amortisation of transitional expected to emerge by 2031
1.9
(1.7)
- Risk margin release expected to emerge after 2031 and gross up for tax
1.1
(0.4)

3.0
(2.1)
Risk margin release and transitional for other business operations (pre-tax)
2.9
(0.4)
Total (pre-tax)
5.9
(2.5)
 
 
C Foreign currency source of key metrics
 
The tables below show the Group's key free surplus, IFRS and EEV metrics analysis by contribution by currency group:
 
Free surplus and IFRS 2016 results



 
Underlying free surplus generated for total insurance and asset management operations
Pre-tax
operating profit
Shareholders'
funds

%
%
%

note (2)
notes (2),(3),(4)
notes (2),(3),(4)
US$ linkednote(1)
15
21
19
Other Asia currencies
9
17
17
Total Asia
24
38
36
UK sterlingnotes (3),(4)
32
14
51
US$ note (4)
44
48
13
Total
100
100
100
 
EEV 2016 results




 Post-tax new
business profits
Post-tax
operating profit
Shareholders'
funds

%
%
%


notes (2),(3),(4)
notes (2),(3),(4)
US$ linkednote (1)
55
46
36
Other Asia currencies
10
12
13
Total Asia
65
58
49
UK sterlingnotes (3),(4)
9
6
29
US$note (4)
26
36
22
Total
100
100
100
 
Notes
(1)  US$ linked comprising the Hong Kong and Vietnam operations where the currencies are pegged to the US dollar and the Malaysia and Singapore operations where the currencies are managed against a basket of currencies including the US dollar.
(2)           Includes long-term, asset management business and other businesses.
(3)           For operating profit and shareholders' funds, UK sterling includes amounts in respect of central operations as well as UK insurance operations and M&G.
(4)           For shareholders' funds, the US$ grouping includes US$ denominated core structural borrowings. Sterling operating profits include all interest payable as sterling denominated, reflecting interest rate currency swaps in place.
 
 
D Reconciliation between IFRS and EEV shareholders' funds
 
The table below shows the reconciliation of EEV shareholders' funds and IFRS shareholders' funds at the end of the year:
 

31 Dec 2016 £m
31 Dec 2015 £m
EEV shareholders' funds
38,968
32,359
Less: Value of in-force business of long-term businessnote (a)
(24,937)
(22,431)
Deferred acquisition costs assigned zero value for EEV purposes
9,170
7,010
Othernotes (b),(c)
(8,535)
(3,983)
IFRS shareholders' funds
14,666
12,955
 
Notes
(a)   The EEV shareholders' funds comprises the present value of the shareholders' interest in the value in-force business, net worth of long-term business operations and IFRS shareholders' funds of asset management and other operations. The value of in-force business reflects the present value of future shareholder cash flows from long-term in-force business which are not captured as shareholders' interest on an IFRS basis. Net worth represents the net assets for EEV reporting purposes that reflect the regulatory basis position, sometimes with adjustments to achieve consistency with the IFRS treatment of certain items.
(b)   Other adjustments represent asset and liability valuation differences between IFRS and the local regulatory reporting basis used to value net worth for long-term insurance operations. It also includes the mark to market of the Group's core borrowings which are fair valued under EEV but not IFRS. The most significant valuation differences relate to changes in the valuation of insurance liabilities. For example, in Jackson where IFRS liabilities are higher than the local regulatory basis as they are principally based on policyholder account balances (with a deferred acquisition costs recognised as an asset) whereas the local regulatory basis used for EEV is based on future cash flows due to the policyholder on a prudent basis with consideration of an expense allowance as applicable, but with no separate deferred acquisition cost asset.
(c)   The 2016 EEV results for UK insurance operations have been prepared on a basis that reflects the Solvency II regime, effective from 1 January 2016. The 2015 EEV results for UK insurance operations were prepared on a basis reflecting the Solvency I regime. As noted in (b) above, "other adjustments" represent asset and liability valuation differences between IFRS and the local regulatory basis used to value net worth for long-term insurance operations. At 31 December 2016 for the UK this would be the difference between IFRS and Solvency II, and at 31 December 2015 the difference between IFRS and Solvency I.
 
 
E Reconciliation of APE new business sales to earned premiums
 
The Group reports annual premium equivalent (APE) new business sales as a measure of the new policies sold in the period. This differs to the IFRS measure of premiums earned as shown below:
 

2016 £m
2015 £m
Annual premium equivalents (APE) as published
6,320
5,466
Adjustment to include 100% of single premiums on new business sold in the periodnote (a)
25,057
24,918
Contribution from the held for sale Korea life business
192
305
Premiums from in-force business and other adjustmentsnote (b)
7,412
5,974
Gross premiums earned
38,981
36,663
Outward reinsurance premiums
(2,020)
(1,157)
Earned premiums, net of reinsurance as shown in the IFRS financial statements
36,961
35,506
 
Notes
(a)   APE new business sales only include one tenth of single premiums, recorded on policies sold in the period. Gross premiums earned include 100 per cent of such premiums.
(b)   Other adjustments principally include amounts in respect of the following:
Gross premiums earned includes premiums from existing in-force business as well as new business. The most significant amount is recorded in Asia, where a significant portion of regular premium business is written. Asia in-force premiums form the vast majority of the other adjustment amount;
APE includes new policies written in the period which are classified as investment contracts without discretionary participation features under IFRS 4, arising mainly in Jackson for guaranteed investment contracts and in the UK for certain unit-linked savings and similar contracts. These are excluded from gross premiums earned and recorded as deposits;
APE new business sales are annualised while gross premiums earned are recorded only when revenues are due; and
For the purpose of reporting APE new business sales, we include the Group's share of amounts sold by the Group's insurance joint ventures. Under IFRS, joint ventures are equity accounted and so no amounts are included within gross premiums earned.
SIGNATURES
 
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.
 
 
Date: 14 March 2017
 
 
PRUDENTIAL PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY
 
 
 
By: /s/ Nic Nicandrou
 
 
 
Nic Nicandrou
 
Chief Financial Officer