rbs201305036k4.htm
 
FORM 6-K
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington D.C. 20549

 
 
Report of Foreign Private Issuer
 
Pursuant to Rule 13a-16 or 15d-16
of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
 
For May 3, 2013
 
Commission File Number: 001-10306

 
The Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc

 
RBS, Gogarburn, PO Box 1000
Edinburgh EH12 1HQ

 
(Address of principal executive offices)
 
 
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports under cover of Form 20-F or Form 40-F.
 
Form 20-F X
 
Form 40-F ___
 
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(1):_________

 
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(7):_________


Indicate by check mark whether the registrant by furnishing the information contained in this Form is also thereby furnishing the information to the Commission pursuant to Rule 12g3-2(b) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.


Yes
  ___
No X
 
 
If "Yes" is marked, indicate below the file number assigned to the registrant in connection with Rule 12g3-2(b): 82- ________

 

 
The following information was issued as a Company announcement in London, England and is furnished pursuant to General Instruction B to the General Instructions to Form 6-K:

 

 
 
 

 
 
Risk and balance sheet management

 
 
Presentation of information
In the balance sheet, all assets of disposal groups are presented as a single line. In the risk and balance sheet management section and Appendix 3 Risk management supplement, balances and exposures relating to disposal groups are included within risk measures for all periods presented.
 
Capital management
 
Capital ratios
 
Current rules
The Group's capital, risk-weighted assets (RWAs) and risk asset ratios, calculated in accordance with Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) definitions, are set out below.
 
 
31 March 
2013 
31 December 
2012 
Capital
£bn 
£bn 
     
Core Tier 1
48.2 
47.3 
Tier 1
57.5 
57.1 
Total
69.0 
66.8 
 
 
RWAs by risk
   
     
Credit risk
   
  - non-counterparty
320.8 
323.2 
  - counterparty
44.4 
48.0 
Market risk
38.8 
42.6 
Operational risk
41.8 
45.8 
     
 
445.8 
459.6 
 
 
Risk asset ratios
     
Core Tier 1
10.8 
10.3 
Tier 1
12.9 
12.4 
Total
15.5 
14.5 
 
Capital Requirements Directive (CRD) IV
 
Fully loaded CRD IV estimates (1)
31 March 
2013 
31 December 
2012 
     
Common Equity Tier 1 capital
£39.9bn 
£38.1bn 
RWAs
£487.2bn 
£494.6bn 
Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio
8.2% 
7.7% 
 
Note:
 
(1)
Calculated on the same basis as disclosed on page 162 of the Group's 2012 annual results announcement.
 
Key points
 
·
Core Tier 1 capital ratios, under current rules and fully loaded CRD IV, improved by 50 basis points to 10.8% and 8.2% respectively. This reflected attributable profit, the favourable impact of currency movements in the capital base as well as reduction in RWAs, the latter despite the impact of additional commercial real estate slotting of £2.8 billion. The weakening of sterling however caused non-sterling RWAs to increase.
   
·
The RWA decreases were primarily in Markets (£12.8 billion), reflecting continued focus on risk reduction and a fall in operational risk, and Non-Core (£5.8 billion) due to disposals and run-offs.



 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Capital management (continued)
 
Capital resources
 
Components of capital (Basel 2.5)
The Group's regulatory capital resources in accordance with PRA definitions were as follows:
 
 
 
31 March 
2013 
31 December 
2012 
 
£m 
£m 
     
Shareholders' equity (excluding non-controlling interests)
   
 Shareholders' equity per balance sheet
70,633 
68,678 
 Preference shares - equity
(4,313)
(4,313)
 Other equity instruments
(979)
(979)
 
65,341 
63,386 
     
Non-controlling interests
   
 Non-controlling interests per balance sheet
532 
1,770 
 Other adjustments to non-controlling interests for regulatory purposes
(1,367)
 
532 
403 
     
Regulatory adjustments and deductions
   
 Own credit
541 
691 
 Defined pension benefit adjustment (1)
592 
913 
 Unrealised losses on available-for-sale (AFS) debt securities
92 
410 
 Unrealised gains on AFS equity shares
(82)
(63)
 Cash flow hedging reserve
(1,635)
(1,666)
 Other adjustments for regulatory purposes
(202)
(198)
 Goodwill and other intangible assets
(13,928)
(13,545)
 50% excess of expected losses over impairment provisions (net of tax)
(1,847)
(1,904)
 50% of securitisation positions
(1,159)
(1,107)
 
(17,628)
(16,469)
     
Core Tier 1 capital
48,245 
47,320 
     
Other Tier 1 capital
   
 Preference shares - equity
4,313 
4,313 
 Preference shares - debt
1,113 
1,054 
 Innovative/hybrid Tier 1 securities
4,410 
4,125 
 
9,836 
9,492 
     
Tier 1 deductions
   
 50% of material holdings (2)
(1,182)
(295)
 Tax on excess of expected losses over impairment provisions
560 
618 
 
(622)
323 
     
Total Tier 1 capital
57,459 
57,135 


 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Capital management: Capital resources: Components of capital (Basel 2.5) (continued)
 
 
 
31 March 
2013 
31 December 
2012 
 
£m 
£m 
     
Qualifying Tier 2 capital
   
 Undated subordinated debt
2,197 
2,194 
 Dated subordinated debt - net of amortisation
13,907 
13,420 
 Unrealised gains on AFS equity shares
82 
63 
 Collectively assessed impairment provisions
417 
399 
 
16,603 
16,076 
     
Tier 2 deductions
   
 50% of securitisation positions
(1,159)
(1,107)
 50% excess of expected losses over impairment provisions
(2,407)
(2,522)
 50% of material holdings (2)
(1,182)
(295)
 
(4,748)
(3,924)
     
Total Tier 2 capital
11,855 
12,152 
     
Supervisory deductions
   
 Unconsolidated investments
   
  - Direct Line Group (2)
(2,081)
  - Other investments
(39)
(162)
 Other deductions
(232)
(244)
     
 
(271)
(2,487)
     
Total regulatory capital
69,043 
66,800 
 
 
Flow statement (Basel 2.5)
The table below analyses the movement in Core Tier 1, Other Tier 1 and Tier 2 capital during the quarter.
 
 
Core Tier
Other Tier 1 
Tier 2 
Supervisory 
deductions 
Total 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
           
At 1 January 2013
47,320 
9,815 
12,152 
(2,487)
66,800 
Attributable profit net of movements in fair value of own credit
243 
243 
Ordinary shares issued
131 
131 
Employee share schemes share capital and reserve
(40)
(40)
Foreign exchange reserve
1,164 
1,164 
Foreign exchange movements
268 
974 
1,242 
Increase in non-controlling interests
129 
129 
Decrease/(increase) in capital deductions (2)
(945)
(824)
2,081 
317 
Increase in goodwill and intangibles
(383)
(383)
Defined pension fund (1)
(321)
(321)
Dated subordinated debt maturities
(150)
(150)
Other movements
(3)
76 
(297)
135 
(89)
           
At 31 March 2013
48,245 
9,214 
11,855 
(271)
69,043 
 
Notes:
 
(1)
The movement in defined pension fund was caused by a contribution to the Main Scheme in the quarter.
(2)
From 1 January 2013 investments in insurance subsidiaries are deducted 50% from Tier 1 and 50% from Tier 2.
 

 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Liquidity, funding and related risks
Liquidity risk is highly dependent on characteristics such as the maturity profile and composition of the Group's assets and liabilities, the quality and marketable value of its liquidity buffer and broader market factors, such as wholesale market conditions alongside depositor and investor behaviour.
 
Overview
 
The Group continued to exceed its medium-term targets on short-term wholesale funding (STWF)(1). STWF at £43.0 billion was 5% of the funded balance sheet and was covered 3.7 times by the liquidity portfolio of £157.6 billion.
   
STWF increased marginally from the year end reflecting maturity migration of medium-term notes and some small increases in commercial paper and certificates of deposit.
   
Total wholesale funding(1) decreased from £150.4 billion to £147.2 billion.
   
The Group liquidity portfolio increased by £10.4 billion (from £147.2 billion to £157.6 billion) mainly in cash at central banks (£7.1 billion) and government bonds (£2.3 billion).
   
The Group's loan:deposit ratio improved to 99% with the funding surplus increasing by £2.7 billion mainly in the Retail & Commercial divisions.
   
Liquidity metrics generally strengthened during the quarter reflecting balance sheet restructuring. The stressed outflow coverage improved and was 1.3 times the worst stress scenario under the PRA regime. The liquidity coverage ratio, based on the Group's interpretation of draft guidance, was maintained above 100% and the net stable funding ratio improved marginally to 119% from 117% at the year end.
   
During the quarter the Group successfully completed a public liability management exercise on £2 billion of senior unsecured debt as part of its on-going balance sheet management.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 Note:
(1)
Excludes derivative collateral.


 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Liquidity, funding and related risks (continued)
 
Funding sources
Summary
The table below shows the Group's principal funding sources excluding repurchase agreements.
 
 
 
31 March 2013
 
31 December 2012
 
Less than 
1 year 
More than 
1 year 
Total 
 
Less than 
1 year 
More than 
1 year 
Total 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
               
Deposits by banks
             
 derivative cash collateral
27,903 
27,903 
 
28,585 
28,585 
 other deposits
17,231 
9,402 
26,633 
 
18,938 
9,551 
28,489 
               
 
45,134 
9,402 
54,536 
 
47,523 
9,551 
57,074 
               
Debt securities in issue
             
 other commercial paper
3,068 
3,068 
 
2,873 
2,873 
 certificates of deposit
3,119 
315 
3,434 
 
2,605 
391 
2,996 
 medium-term notes
15,574 
48,464 
64,038 
 
13,019 
53,584 
66,603 
 covered bonds
1,082 
9,281 
10,363 
 
1,038 
9,101 
10,139 
 securitisations
809 
11,028 
11,837 
 
761 
11,220 
11,981 
               
 
23,652 
69,088 
92,740 
 
20,296 
74,296 
94,592 
Subordinated liabilities
2,081 
25,707 
27,788 
 
2,351 
24,951 
27,302 
               
Notes issued
25,733 
94,795 
120,528 
 
22,647 
99,247 
121,894 
               
Wholesale funding
70,867 
104,197 
175,064 
 
70,170 
108,798 
178,968 
               
Customer deposits
             
 cash collateral
8,290 
8,290 
 
7,949 
7,949 
 other deposits
406,713 
23,234 
429,947 
 
400,012 
26,031 
426,043 
               
Total customer deposits
415,003 
23,234 
438,237 
 
407,961 
26,031 
433,992 
               
Total funding
485,870 
127,431 
613,301 
 
478,131 
134,829 
612,960 
 
The table below shows the Group's wholesale funding by source.
 
 
 
Short-term wholesale
funding (1)
 
Total wholesale
funding
 
Net inter-bank
funding (2)
 
Excluding 
 derivative 
collateral 
Including 
 derivative 
 collateral 
 
Excluding 
 derivative 
collateral 
Including 
 derivative 
 collateral 
 
Deposits 
Loans (3)
Net 
 inter-bank 
 funding 
 
£bn 
£bn 
 
£bn 
£bn 
 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
                   
31 March 2013
43.0 
70.9 
 
147.2 
175.1 
 
26.6 
(18.7)
7.9 
31 December 2012
41.6 
70.2 
 
150.4 
179.0 
 
28.5 
(18.6)
9.9 
30 September 2012
48.5 
77.2 
 
158.9 
187.6 
 
29.4 
(20.2)
9.2 
30 June 2012
62.3 
94.3 
 
181.1 
213.1 
 
35.6 
(22.3)
13.3 
31 March 2012
79.7 
109.1 
 
204.9 
234.3 
 
36.4 
(19.7)
16.7 
 
Notes:
 
(1)
Short-term wholesale balances denote those with a residual maturity of less than one year and include longer-term issuances.
(2)
Excludes derivative collateral.
(3)
Primarily short-term balances.


 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Liquidity, funding and related risks (continued)
 
Liquidity portfolio
The table below analyses the Group's liquidity portfolio by product and by liquidity value. Liquidity value is lower than carrying value principally as it is stated after the discounts applied by the Bank of England and other central banks to loans, within secondary liquidity portfolio, eligible for discounting.
 
 
 
Liquidity value
 
Period end
 
Average
 
31 March 
2013 
31 December 
2012 
 
Q1 
2013 
Q4 
2012 
31 March 2013
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
           
Cash and balances at central banks
77,238 
70,109 
 
78,292 
74,794 
Central and local government bonds
23,004 
20,691 
 
19,419 
24,618 
Treasury bills
750 
750 
 
750 
750 
           
Primary liquidity
100,992 
91,550 
 
98,461 
100,162 
Secondary liquidity (1)
56,578 
55,619 
 
56,245 
50,901 
           
Total liquidity portfolio
157,570 
147,169 
 
154,706 
151,063 
           
           
Balance sheet carrying value
199,062 
187,942 
     
 
Note:
 
(1)
Includes assets eligible for discounting at the Bank of England and other central banks.
 
Basel III liquidity ratios and other metrics
 
 
 
31 March 
2013 
31 December 
2012 
 
     
Stressed outflow coverage (1)
134 
128 
Liquidity coverage ratio (2)
>100 
>100 
Net stable funding ratio (2)
119 
117 
 
Notes:
 
(1)
The Group's liquidity risk appetite is measured by reference to the liquidity buffer as a percentage of stressed contractual and behavioural outflows under the worst of three severe stress scenarios as envisaged under the PRA regime. Liquidity risk is expressed as a surplus of liquid assets over three months' stressed outflows under the worst of a market-wide stress, an idiosyncratic stress and a combination of both.
(2)
Pending the finalisation of the definitions, the Group monitors the LCR and the net stable funding ratio in its internal reporting framework based on its interpretation and expectation of the final rules. At present there is a broad range of interpretations on how to calculate these ratios due to the lack of a commonly agreed market standard. There are also inconsistencies between the current regulatory approach of the PRA and that being proposed in the LCR with respect to the treatment of unencumbered assets that could be pledged with central banks via a discount window facility. This makes meaningful comparisons between institutions difficult.


 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Credit risk: Loans and related credit metrics
The tables below analyse gross loans and advances (excluding reverse repos) and the related credit metrics by division. For a description of the Group's early problem debt identification and problem debt management refer to pages 172 to 180 of the Group's 2012 Annual Report and Accounts.
 
 
       
Credit metrics
Quarter ended
 
 
Gross loans to
REIL 
Provisions 
REIL as a % 
of gross 
loans to 
customers 
Provisions 
as a % 
of REIL 
 
Impairment 
charge 
Amounts 
written-off 
 
Banks 
Customers 
 
31 March 2013
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
                   
UK Retail
876 
113,219 
4,428 
2,558 
3.9 
58 
80 
142 
 
UK Corporate
827 
106,847 
5,329 
2,387 
5.0 
45 
185 
228 
 
Wealth
1,512 
17,204 
259 
112 
1.5 
43 
 
International Banking
5,800 
42,608 
642 
384 
1.5 
60 
55 
62 
 
Ulster Bank
651 
33,100 
7,952 
4,226 
24.0 
53 
240 
27 
 
US Retail & Commercial
115 
53,840 
1,263 
284 
2.3 
22 
19 
69 
 
                   
Retail & Commercial
9,781 
366,818 
19,873 
9,951 
5.4 
50 
584 
529 
 
Markets
20,293 
32,015 
412 
314 
1.3 
76 
15 
 
Other
3,781 
3,049 
100 
 
                   
Core
33,855 
401,882 
20,286 
10,266 
5.0 
51 
599 
529 
 
Non-Core
394 
52,923 
20,756 
11,240 
39.2 
54 
437 
627 
 
                   
Group
34,249 
454,805 
41,042 
21,506 
9.0 
52 
1,036 
1,156 
 
 
 
31 December 2012
               
                 
UK Retail
695 
113,599 
4,569 
2,629 
4.0 
58 
93 
127 
UK Corporate
746 
107,025 
5,452 
2,432 
5.1 
45 
232 
125 
Wealth
1,545 
17,074 
248 
109 
1.5 
44 
16 
International Banking
4,827 
42,342 
422 
391 
1.0 
93 
37 
225 
Ulster Bank
632 
32,652 
7,533 
3,910 
23.1 
52 
318 
28 
US Retail & Commercial
435 
51,271 
1,146 
285 
2.2 
25 
19 
93 
                 
Retail & Commercial
8,880 
363,963 
19,370 
9,756 
5.3 
50 
715 
602 
Markets
16,805 
29,787 
396 
305 
1.3 
77 
13 
86 
Other
5,232 
3,006 
nm 
                 
Core
30,917 
396,756 
19,766 
10,062 
5.0 
51 
729 
688 
Non-Core
477 
56,343 
21,374 
11,200 
37.9 
52 
673 
733 
                 
Group
31,394 
453,099 
41,140 
21,262 
9.1 
52 
1,402 
1,421 
 
nm = not meaningful
 
Key points
 
·
REIL at £41.0 billion remained broadly unchanged with a decrease of £0.6 billion in Non-Core being partially offset by the continued increase in Ulster Bank mortgage portfolios as the economic conditions remain challenging. Excluding the impact of foreign currency movements (£0.9 billion), REIL decreased by £1.0 billion.
·
Provision coverage remained in line with the year end at 52% while REIL as a percentage of total loans decreased marginally from 9.1% to 9.0%.
·
The impairment charge of £1,036 million was 26% or £366 million lower than Q4 2012 with reductions in both Core (£130 million) and Non-Core (£236 million).
·
The economic outlook in Ireland appears to be stabilising, though uncertainty remains. While trends are showing improvement, Ulster Bank's REIL remained elevated; REIL as a percentage of loans increased marginally to 24.0%, though provision coverage increased to 53%.
 

 
 
Additional analyses of loan and related credit metrics are included in Appendix 3.


 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Credit risk: (continued)
 
Debt securities
The table below analyses debt securities by issuer and IFRS measurement classifications. US central and local government includes US federal agencies; financial institutions includes US government sponsored agencies and securitisation entities.
 
 
 
Central and local government
Banks 
Other 
financial 
institutions 
Corporate 
Total 
 
Of which 
ABS (1)
UK 
US 
Other 
31 March 2013
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
                   
Held-for-trading (HFT)
8,109 
16,259 
25,823 
1,940 
24,801 
2,233 
79,165 
 
20,507 
Designated as at fair value
134 
523 
15 
674 
 
521 
Available-for-sale (AFS)
8,273 
19,097 
13,313 
7,124 
21,518 
215 
69,540 
 
29,417 
Loans and receivables
151 
3,499 
247 
3,902 
 
3,413 
                   
Long positions
16,387 
35,356 
39,270 
9,217 
50,341 
2,710 
153,281 
 
53,858 
                   
Of which US agencies
6,377 
22,478 
28,855 
 
26,201 
                   
Short positions (HFT)
(2,480)
(11,788)
(11,222)
(1,121)
(1,622)
(1,149)
(29,382)
 
(59)
                   
Available-for-sale
                 
Gross unrealised gains
913 
986 
991 
69 
674 
3,640 
 
761 
Gross unrealised losses
(30)
(10)
(310)
(1,169)
(4)
(1,523)
 
(1,508)
                   
31 December 2012
                 
                   
Held-for-trading
7,692 
17,349 
27,195 
2,243 
21,876 
2,015 
78,370 
 
18,619 
Designated as at fair value
123 
86 
610 
54 
873 
 
516 
Available-for-sale
9,774 
19,046 
16,155 
8,861 
23,890 
3,167 
80,893 
 
30,743 
Loans and receivables
365 
3,728 
390 
4,488 
 
3,707 
                   
Long positions
17,471 
36,395 
43,473 
11,555 
50,104 
5,626 
164,624 
 
53,585 
                   
Of which US agencies
5,380 
21,566 
26,946 
 
24,828 
                   
Short positions (HFT)
(1,538)
(10,658)
(11,355)
(1,036)
(1,595)
(798)
(26,980)
 
(17)
                   
Available-for-sale
                 
Gross unrealised gains
1,007 
1,092 
1,187 
110 
660 
120 
4,176 
 
764 
Gross unrealised losses
(1)
(14)
(509)
(1,319)
(4)
(1,847)
 
(1,817)
 
Note:
 
(1)
Asset-backed securities.
 
Key points
 
·
HFT: decreases in other government bonds, due to maturities and sales of Japanese securities, were partially offset by an increase in German bonds. Increases in other financial institutions relates to increase in US agency securities.
   
·
AFS: The reduction primarily relates to debt securities of £7.2 billion in Direct Line Group at 31 December 2012, not included at 31 March 2013 as Direct Line Group is an associated undertaking with effect from 13 March 2013 as the Group has ceded control.
 
Refer to Appendix 3 for an analysis of AFS reserves.



 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Credit risk (continued)
 
Derivatives
The table below analyses the fair value of the Group's derivatives by type of contract. Master netting arrangements in respect of mark-to-market (mtm) positions and collateral shown below do not result in a net presentation in the Group's balance sheet under IFRS.
 
 
 
31 March 2013
 
31 December 2012
 
Notional (1)
Assets 
Liabilities 
 
Notional (1)
Assets 
Liabilities 
 
£bn 
£m 
£m 
 
£bn 
£m 
£m 
               
Interest rate (2)
37,732 
343,225 
330,560 
 
33,483 
363,454 
345,565 
Exchange rate
5,830 
73,293 
80,414 
 
4,698 
63,067 
70,481 
Credit
567 
11,445 
10,639 
 
553 
11,005 
10,353 
Other (3)
123 
4,474 
8,270 
 
111 
4,392 
7,941 
               
   
432,437 
429,883 
   
441,918 
434,340 
Counterparty mtm netting
 
(366,419)
(366,419)
   
(373,906)
(373,906)
Cash collateral
 
(33,340)
(29,039)
   
(34,099)
(24,633)
Securities collateral
 
(5,564)
(7,063)
   
(5,616)
(8,264)
               
   
27,114 
27,362 
   
28,297 
27,537 
 
Notes:
 
(1)
Exchange traded contracts were £2,268 billion (31 December 2012 - £2,497 billion), principally interest rate. Trades are generally closed out daily hence carrying values were insignificant (assets - £32 million; liabilities - £273 million).
(2)
Interest rate notional includes £20,747 billion (31 December 2012 - £15,864 billion) in respect of contracts with central clearing counterparties to the extent related assets and liabilities are netted.
(3)
Comprises equity and commodity derivatives.
 
Key points
 
·
Net exposure, after taking account of position and collateral netting arrangements, decreased by 4% (liabilities decreased by 1%) due to lower derivative fair values, driven by market movements and increased use of trade compression cycles.
   
·
Interest rate contracts decreased due to downward shifts in interest rate yields and increased use of trade compression cycles reflecting a greater number of market participants and hence trade-matching. This was partially offset by higher trade volumes and exchange rate movements.
   
·
The impact of exchange rate movements and higher trade volumes resulted in an increase in exchange rate contracts.
   
·
The increase in credit derivatives reflected exchange rate movements and widening of credit spreads in Europe due to the uncertain economic environment. This was partially offset by increased use of trade compression cycles and tightening of US credit spreads.
 
 
 
 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Market risk
 
Value-at-risk (VaR)
For a description of the Group's basis of measurement and methodologies, refer to pages 243 to 247 of the Group's 2012 Annual Report and Accounts.
 
 
   
Quarter ended
 
31 March 2013
 
31 December 2012
 
31 March 2012
 
Average 
Period end 
Maximum 
Minimum 
 
Average 
Period end 
Maximum 
Minimum 
 
Average 
Period end 
Maximum 
Minimum 
Trading VaR
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                             
Interest rate
47.7 
38.9 
78.2 
35.4 
 
59.1 
75.6 
82.1 
40.8 
 
73.8 
68.3 
95.7 
51.2 
Credit spread
76.3 
70.8 
86.8 
69.8 
 
68.7 
74.1 
76.9 
57.2 
 
84.2 
88.5 
94.9 
72.6 
Currency
10.5 
13.0 
20.6 
4.6 
 
7.1 
7.6 
11.6 
2.6 
 
12.5 
11.1 
21.3 
8.2 
Equity
6.8 
8.5 
11.6 
4.2 
 
5.3 
3.9 
9.2 
1.7 
 
7.5 
6.3 
12.5 
4.7 
Commodity
1.5 
2.6 
3.7 
0.9 
 
2.2 
1.5 
3.5 
1.3 
 
2.5 
1.3 
6.0 
1.0 
Diversification (1)
 
(40.1)
       
(55.4)
       
(69.0)
   
                             
Total
106.9 
93.7 
118.8 
88.4 
 
92.4 
107.3 
113.4 
72.3 
 
116.6 
106.5 
137.0 
97.2 
                             
Core
89.8 
77.3 
104.6 
74.7 
 
75.8 
88.1 
94.6 
58.4 
 
82.8 
74.5 
118.0 
63.6 
Non-Core
22.0 
20.3 
24.9 
18.1 
 
23.4 
22.8 
25.7 
22.0 
 
38.7 
39.3 
41.9 
34.2 
                             
CEM (2)
76.3 
62.2 
85.4 
61.0 
 
80.8 
84.9 
86.0 
71.7 
 
79.1 
78.5 
84.2 
73.3 
                             
Total (excluding CEM)
51.1 
45.0 
60.4 
41.2 
 
49.3 
57.6 
61.1 
33.2 
 
53.5 
56.6 
76.4 
41.0 
 
Notes:
 
(1)
The Group benefits from diversification, which reflects the risk reduction achieved by allocating investments across various financial instrument types, currencies and markets. The extent of diversification benefit depends on the correlation between the assets and risk factors in the portfolio at a particular time.
(2)
Counterparty exposure management.
 
 
 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
 
Market risk (continued)
 
Value-at-risk (VaR) (continued)
 
Key points
 
·
The Group's interest rate VaR was lower in Q1 2013 than in both Q4 2012 and Q1 2012 reflecting continued de-risking by a number of Markets businesses.
   
·
The average credit spread VaR was slightly higher than in Q4 2012, as Markets Delta business repositioned its exposure to European periphery countries.
   
·
The period end and average currency VaR were higher in Q1 2013 than in Q4 2012, reflecting a reduction in downside protection in Markets currencies business during February.
   
·
In March 2013, CEM made improvements to how certain valuation adjustments are captured in VaR. This resulted in lower VaR in Q1 2013. The impact on the Group's Total, Core and Non-Core VaR was less significant.
 
Non-trading VaR
The average VaR for the Group's non-trading portfolio predominantly comprising available-for-sale portfolios in Markets, Non-Core and International Banking, was £8.9 million (Q4 2012 - £ 9.4 million; Q1 2012 - £15.7 million). The period end VaR increased from £9.5 million at Q4 2012 to £13.6 million as a result of changes to the call assumptions on certain Dutch RMBS, which caused their weighted average life to extend.
 
Other portfolios
The Structured Credit Portfolio in Non-Core is measured on a notional and fair value basis due to its illiquid nature. Notional and fair value decreased to £1.6 billion and £1.2 billion respectively (31 December 2012 - £2.0 billion and £1.5 billion) reflecting the sale of underlying assets from CDO collateral pools and legacy conduits. The reductions were across all CDO, CLO, MBS and other ABS asset classes.
 
 

 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Country risk: Summary tables
Country risk is the risk of material losses arising from significant country-specific events such as sovereign events (default or restructuring); economic events (contagion of sovereign default to other parts of the economy, cyclical economic shock); political events (transfer or convertibility restrictions, expropriation or nationalisation); and conflict. Such events have the potential to affect elements of the Group's credit portfolio that are directly or indirectly linked to the country in question and can also give rise to market, liquidity, operational and franchise risk-related losses. The table below shows the Group's exposure by country of incorporation of the counterparty. Refer to Appendix 3 for basis of selection, overview and additional data on eurozone periphery countries.
 
 
 
31 March 2013
 
Lending
 
Debt 
securities 
     
Balance 
sheet 
 
Off- 
balance 
sheet 
 
CDS 
notional 
less fair 
value 
     
Govt 
Central 
banks 
Other 
banks 
Other 
FI 
Corporate 
Personal 
Total 
Lending 
 
Of which 
Non-Core 
Net
Gross
Derivatives 
Repos
Derivatives 
Repos 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                                               
Eurozone
                                             
Ireland
44 
44 
99 
522 
18,235 
18,393 
37,337 
 
9,679 
 
857 
 
1,628 
179 
 
40,001 
 
3,135 
 
(172)
 
16,914 
7,086 
Spain
49 
54 
4,202 
347 
4,660 
 
2,736 
 
5,551 
 
1,582 
 
11,793 
 
1,854 
 
(364)
 
5,418 
2,279 
Italy
10 
22 
145 
103 
1,425 
24 
1,729 
 
811 
 
1,328 
 
2,290 
 
5,347 
 
2,540 
 
(384)
 
9,546 
88 
Portugal
257 
265 
 
152 
 
246 
 
486 
 
997 
 
234 
 
(130)
 
592 
695 
Greece
181 
14 
197 
 
60 
 
 
372 
 
569 
 
34 
 
 
611 
Cyprus
289 
14 
303 
 
125 
 
 
34 
 
337 
 
41 
 
 
48 
14 
                                               
Germany
16,037 
488 
108 
3,435 
82 
20,150 
 
2,476 
 
11,889 
 
9,873 
576 
 
42,488 
 
7,367 
 
(1,232)
 
54,876 
11,289 
Netherlands
30 
2,021 
453 
1,570 
4,160 
24 
8,258 
 
1,885 
 
8,567 
 
8,814 
146 
 
25,785 
 
11,235 
 
(1,460)
 
23,131 
7,649 
France
503 
2,737 
131 
2,312 
75 
5,758 
 
1,493 
 
4,913 
 
6,259 
348 
 
17,278 
 
9,727 
 
(2,023)
 
43,349 
18,822 
Belgium
183 
235 
445 
21 
884 
 
372 
 
1,185 
 
3,194 
98 
 
5,361 
 
1,350 
 
(239)
 
4,751 
2,100 
Luxembourg
23 
151 
792 
1,829 
2,799 
 
953 
 
120 
 
1,505 
155 
 
4,579 
 
2,514 
 
(251)
 
3,004 
6,005 
Other
107 
47 
746 
14 
917 
 
91 
 
925 
 
1,617 
15 
 
3,474 
 
1,315 
 
(244)
 
5,660 
1,828 
                                               
Other countries
                                           
Japan
641 
254 
167 
346 
14 
1,422 
 
65 
 
3,245 
 
2,276 
208 
 
7,151 
 
682 
 
(56)
 
12,563 
19,753 
India
98 
806 
49 
3,104 
88 
4,145 
 
178 
 
1,304 
 
81 
 
5,530 
 
925 
 
(21)
 
188 
69 
China
160 
998 
79 
618 
35 
1,892 
 
37 
 
289 
 
1,024 
71 
 
3,276 
 
552 
 
55 
 
1,024 
3,696 
South Korea
18 
557 
50 
436 
1,062 
 
 
330 
 
321 
18 
 
1,731 
 
853 
 
(44)
 
689 
818 
Turkey
118 
123 
74 
91 
915 
12 
1,333 
 
236 
 
246 
 
66 
 
1,645 
 
410 
 
(69)
 
89 
623 
Brazil
914 
125 
1,042 
 
60 
 
490 
 
44 
 
1,576 
 
198 
 
219 
 
62 
Russia
48 
868 
304 
60 
1,282 
 
57 
 
258 
 
27 
 
1,567 
 
384 
 
(182)
 
27 
Romania
20 
153 
333 
329 
839 
 
837 
 
199 
 
 
1,041 
 
82 
 
(21)
 
Poland
10 
549 
567 
 
15 
 
423 
 
29 
 
1,019 
 
611 
 
(85)
 
45 




Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Country risk: Summary tables (continued)
 
 
31 December 2012
 
Lending
 
Debt 
securities 
     
Balance 
sheet 
 
Off- 
balance 
sheet 
 
CDS 
notional 
less fair 
value 
   
Govt 
Central 
Banks 
Other 
Banks 
Other 
FI 
Corporate 
Personal 
Total 
Lending 
 
Of which 
Non-Core 
Net
Gross
Derivatives 
Repos 
Derivatives 
Repos 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                                               
Eurozone
                                             
Ireland
42 
73 
98 
532 
17,921 
17,893 
36,559 
 
9,506 
 
787 
 
1,692 
579 
 
39,617 
 
2,958 
 
(137)
 
17,066 
7,994 
Spain
59 
4,260 
340 
4,666 
 
2,759 
 
5,374 
 
1,754 
 
11,794 
 
1,624 
 
(375)
 
5,694 
610 
Italy
21 
200 
218 
1,392 
23 
1,863 
 
900 
 
1,607 
 
2,297 
 
5,767 
 
2,616 
 
(492)
 
9,597 
Portugal
336 
343 
 
251 
 
215 
 
514 
 
1,072 
 
258 
 
(94)
 
618 
26 
Greece
179 
14 
201 
 
68 
 
 
360 
 
562 
 
27 
 
(4)
 
623 
Cyprus
274 
15 
291 
 
121 
 
 
35 
 
330 
 
47 
 
 
54 
15 
                                               
Germany
20,018 
660 
460 
3,756 
83 
24,977 
 
2,817 
 
12,763 
 
9,476 
323 
 
47,539 
 
7,294 
 
(1,333)
 
57,202 
8,407 
Netherlands
1,822 
496 
1,785 
3,720 
26 
7,856 
 
2,002 
 
8,447 
 
9,089 
354 
 
25,746 
 
11,473 
 
(1,470)
 
23,957 
10,057 
France
494 
2,498 
124 
2,426 
71 
5,622 
 
1,621 
 
5,823 
 
7,422 
450 
 
19,317 
 
9,460 
 
(2,197)
 
44,920 
14,324 
Belgium
186 
249 
414 
22 
871 
 
368 
 
1,408 
 
3,140 
50 
 
5,469 
 
1,308 
 
(233)
 
4,961 
1,256 
Luxembourg
13 
99 
717 
1,817 
2,650 
 
973 
 
251 
 
1,462 
145 
 
4,508 
 
2,190 
 
(306)
 
3,157 
5,166 
Other
126 
19 
90 
856 
14 
1,105 
 
88 
 
1,242 
 
1,737 
11 
 
4,095 
 
1,269 
 
(194)
 
6,029 
2,325 
                                               
Other countries
                                           
Japan
832 
315 
193 
319 
15 
1,674 
 
123 
 
6,438 
 
2,883 
199 
 
11,194 
 
622 
 
(70)
 
13,269 
16,350 
India
100 
1,021 
48 
2,628 
106 
3,903 
 
170 
 
1,074 
 
64 
 
5,041 
 
914 
 
(43)
 
167 
108 
China
183 
829 
48 
585 
29 
1,676 
 
33 
 
262 
 
903 
94 
 
2,935 
 
739 
 
50 
 
903 
3,833 
South Korea
22 
771 
71 
289 
1,155 
 
 
307 
 
221 
30 
 
1,713 
 
704 
 
(60)
 
616 
449 
Turkey
115 
163 
82 
94 
928 
12 
1,394 
 
258 
 
181 
 
93 
 
1,668 
 
481 
 
(36)
 
114 
449 
Brazil
950 
125 
1,078 
 
60 
 
596 
 
73 
 
1,747 
 
189 
 
393 
 
85 
Russia
53 
848 
14 
494 
55 
1,464 
 
56 
 
409 
 
23 
 
1,896 
 
391 
 
(254)
 
23 
Romania
20 
65 
347 
331 
774 
 
773 
 
315 
 
 
1,092 
 
80 
 
(12)
 
Poland
164 
16 
536 
722 
 
26 
 
289 
 
36 
 
1,047 
 
802 
 
(84)
 
54 
29 
 
 

 
Additional information

 
Share information
 
 
31 March 
2013 
31 December 
2012 
     
Ordinary share price
275.5p 
324.5p 
     
Number of ordinary shares in issue
6,108m 
6,071m 
 
 
Statutory results
Financial information contained in this document does not constitute statutory accounts within the meaning of section 434 of the Companies Act 2006 ('the Act'). The statutory accounts for the year ended 31 December 2012 will be filed with the Registrar of Companies following the company's Annual General Meeting. The report of the auditor on those statutory accounts was unqualified, did not draw attention to any matters by way of emphasis and did not contain a statement under section 498(2) or (3) of the Act.
 
The Q1 2013 results have not been audited or reviewed by the auditors.
 
Financial calendar
 
   
2013 interim results
Friday 2 August 2013
   
2013 third quarter interim management statement
Friday 1 November 2013
 
 
 
 

 
Signatures


 
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.





 
 
Date: 3 May 2013
 
 
THE ROYAL BANK OF SCOTLAND GROUP plc (Registrant)
 
 
 
By:
/s/ Jan Cargill
 
 
Name:
Title:
Jan Cargill
Deputy Secretary